Question on Russ Feingold (user search)
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Author Topic: Question on Russ Feingold  (Read 2496 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: March 30, 2005, 07:08:30 PM »

Regional advantage probably helps him in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and Michigan. He's a perfect candidate for New Hampshire. So he basically starts with 238 EV (Kerry states + Iowa - Pennsylvania).

If he chooses Bayh as VP, he can probably win Ohio and Pennsylvania, and get 279 EV (Iowa becomes irrelevant)

If he chooses Richardson as VP, he can probably get NM and NV. If he gets PA as well, then he wins with just one more state (OH, CO, MO are possibilities)

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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2005, 02:24:48 AM »
« Edited: March 31, 2005, 02:27:46 AM by jfern »

Regional advantage probably helps him in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and Michigan. He's a perfect candidate for New Hampshire. So he basically starts with 238 EV (Kerry states + Iowa - Pennsylvania).

If he chooses Bayh as VP, he can probably win Ohio and Pennsylvania, and get 279 EV (Iowa becomes irrelevant)

If he chooses Richardson as VP, he can probably get NM and NV. If he gets PA as well, then he wins with just one more state (OH, CO, MO are possibilities)



The fact that he is Jewish helps him in FL. 

Yeah, if he gets Florida, he just needs one of PA, OH, NM, NV, or CO.

Anyways, Feingold could choose a more conservative candidate to help him with some particular swing states, and it wouldn't hurt turnout amoung the base.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2005, 02:29:48 AM »
« Edited: March 31, 2005, 02:31:19 AM by jfern »

I just want to know if he will run and what his chances of getting the nomination are. Has he began to take any steps towards a run for the white house? Just wondering.

He will run. He has a great chance at receiving the nomination. Espeically if a ton of moderates like Warner, Bayh, Richardson, and Biden run. They will split the moderate vote and Feingold will sneak in the back door and snatch up the entire liberal base and win the nomination.

Who do you think he would  choose as his Veep?
Biden-with his foreign relations expertice
Bayh-able to get the moderate conservatives
Richardson-Hispanic vote and could pull in Nevads, New Mexico, or the long-shot Arizona.
Warner-Don't know much about him.


Feingold/Biden and Feingold/Richardson seem possible. He'd probably look to Biden to take some of the focus away from his social issue stances. He'd look to Richardson to he could put New Mexico and Nevada in play/lean Dem.

Warner seems like another VP possibility - current Virginia governor who is term limited at the end of this year.
Bayh might be a good choice for winning Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Other names that come to mind are Gore, Spitzer, Schweitzer,  Reid,  and Edwards.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2005, 02:55:04 AM »

I just want to know if he will run and what his chances of getting the nomination are. Has he began to take any steps towards a run for the white house? Just wondering.

He will run. He has a great chance at receiving the nomination. Espeically if a ton of moderates like Warner, Bayh, Richardson, and Biden run. They will split the moderate vote and Feingold will sneak in the back door and snatch up the entire liberal base and win the nomination.

Who do you think he would  choose as his Veep?
Biden-with his foreign relations expertice
Bayh-able to get the moderate conservatives
Richardson-Hispanic vote and could pull in Nevads, New Mexico, or the long-shot Arizona.
Warner-Don't know much about him.


Feingold/Biden and Feingold/Richardson seem possible. He'd probably look to Biden to take some of the focus away from his social issue stances. He'd look to Richardson to he could put New Mexico and Nevada in play/lean Dem.

Warner seems like another VP possibility - current Virginia governor who is term limited at the end of this year.
Bayh might be a good choice for winning Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Other names that come to mind are Gore, Spitzer, Schweitzer,  Reid,  and Edwards.

Feingold/Warner could happen. I agree about Bayh. Feingold's chances of winning OH and PA go up with that selection.

As for the others:

Gore - That's not happening.

Spitzer - The two years as Governor won't be enough but I actually do expect him to be mentioned as a possible running mate for whoever the nominee is.

Schweitzer - No. He wouldn't bring all that much to the ticket (Sure a nice conservative Democrat that could help here and there but I hope you're not thinking he could carry Montana for Feingold.)

Reid - Maybe.

Edwards - It's Presidential nominee or bust for Edwards, in my opinion.

Well, Gore might be good, but he might do more with a more conservative running mate.

Spitzer was already mentioned as a running mate for 2004, so another 4 years won't hurt.

Schweitzer isn't so conservative, but he is from a red state. Maybe he'd help in NV, NM, CO.  Reid would definitely help in those states.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2005, 03:00:46 AM »

I just want to know if he will run and what his chances of getting the nomination are. Has he began to take any steps towards a run for the white house? Just wondering.

He will run. He has a great chance at receiving the nomination. Espeically if a ton of moderates like Warner, Bayh, Richardson, and Biden run. They will split the moderate vote and Feingold will sneak in the back door and snatch up the entire liberal base and win the nomination.

Who do you think he would  choose as his Veep?
Biden-with his foreign relations expertice
Bayh-able to get the moderate conservatives
Richardson-Hispanic vote and could pull in Nevads, New Mexico, or the long-shot Arizona.
Warner-Don't know much about him.


Feingold/Biden and Feingold/Richardson seem possible. He'd probably look to Biden to take some of the focus away from his social issue stances. He'd look to Richardson to he could put New Mexico and Nevada in play/lean Dem.

Warner seems like another VP possibility - current Virginia governor who is term limited at the end of this year.
Bayh might be a good choice for winning Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Other names that come to mind are Gore, Spitzer, Schweitzer,  Reid,  and Edwards.

of these, Governors Mark Warner (VA), Janet Napolitano (AZ), and Bill Richardson (NM) seem to be the most likely and attractive candidates for the VP slot -it is never a good idea to have two senators at the head of the ticket.  we need at least one governor up there who can appeal to certain constituencies and show executive experience. 

Elliot Spitzer hasn't even been elected governor yet, but should he become New York Governor, he should serve at least two terms in office before turning his attention to the presidency or the vice-presidency...the same goes for Governor Mike Schweitzer of Montana.  John Kerry, John Edwards, and Al Gore are out of the question -they lost last time.  Harry Reid should remain in his current role as Senate minority leader.  he has an important role to play there and it does no good to anyone if he is suddenly pulled from the Senate to the vice-presidency.

 

Yeah, you're right that we need to be cautious about 2 Senators.  If he can't win any of the kind of long shot states of Colorado, Missouri, Arkansas, or West Virginia, then he needs to win either
1. Pennsylvania and Ohio
2. Florida and all of the small swing states, or one of PA or OH.

The best he can do without that is an electoral tie, which is no good for the Democrats.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2005, 03:06:39 AM »

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How can someone seriously mention a State AG as a VP candidate? Come on. I'm not doubting it happened but what were the people thinking when they mentioned that as a possibility?

Schweitzer could help in NV, NM, CO but if they want to look for someone that can really help in those states, then they'll look at Richardson. Reid would help out a lot in CO and would flip NV. Not sure about NM though.

Spitzer wasn't your average state AG. He really went after curropt companies, and made them take a beating in the stock market. He's got a 62-15 approval rating. Remember, Bush still got 40% there.

Maybe Richardson would help in Florida.

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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,897


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: April 06, 2005, 04:22:23 AM »

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More here: http://www.jsonline.com/news/state/mar05/314080.asp

This blog links to a lot of Feingold sites:
http://forwardourmotto.blogspot.com/
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