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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #25 on: January 25, 2007, 04:13:09 PM »

Not much movement.
Do Rice, Powell, Jeb Bush, or Cheney really have a chance?

Democrats
Clinton 48.5
Obama 18.8
Edwards 15.8
Gore 7.6
Richardson 2.6
Biden 2.5
Vilsack 1.4
Dodd 1.0
Clark 1.0
Gravel 1.0
Warner 0.6

Republicans

McCain 42.2
Romney 17.0
Giuliani 16.1
Huckabee 6.0
Gingrich 5.2
Hagel 4.1
Brownback 3.7
Rice 2.3
Cheney 1.0
Powell 0.9
Gilmore 0.7
Bush 0.6
Pataki 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #26 on: January 26, 2007, 02:03:15 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2007, 02:12:52 PM by jfern »

I've listed the last trade of every candidate with a bid.

Gore surge
McCain, Gilmore, Gravel lose

Democrats
Clinton 48.1
Obama 18.9
Edwards 15.9
Gore 9.8
Richardson 2.4
Biden 2.1
Vilsack 1.4
Dodd 0.7
Clark 0.7
Warner 0.7
Kerry 0.3
Gravel 0.2
Bayh 0.2
Corzine 0.2
Kucinch 0.1

Republicans

McCain 40.1
Romney 17.0
Giuliani 17.0
Huckabee 5.8
Gingrich 5.3
Hagel 4.3
Brownback 3.3
Rice 2.1
Cheney 1.0
Powell 0.9
Bush 0.8
Hunter 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.4
Allen 0.3
Tancredo 0.3
Thompson 0.3
Owens 0.1
Santorum 0.1
Sanford 0.1


No bid Democrats: Feingold, Schweitzer, Dean, Daschle, Rendell, Bredesen, Lieberman, Powell, Ford, Leahy, Blagojevich, Easley
No bid Republicans: Paul, Gilmore, Warner, Frist, Barbour, Graham, Pawlenty, Dole, Schwarz, Ridge, Franks
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #27 on: January 27, 2007, 01:52:56 PM »

Up: Gore, Guilani
Down: Obama, Richardson, Vilsack

Democrats
Clinton 48.2
Obama 17.7
Edwards 15.5
Gore 11.1
Richardson 2.0
Biden 2.0
Vilsack 0.9
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.6
Warner 0.5


Republicans

McCain 40.1
Giuliani 18.0
Romney 17.0
Huckabee 5.8
Gingrich 5.1
Hagel 4.2
Brownback 3.3
Rice 2.1
Cheney 1.0
Powell 0.9
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.6

Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #28 on: January 28, 2007, 04:39:06 PM »

Gingrich passes, and Hagel ties, Huckabee

Democrats
Clinton 48.0
Obama 18.6
Edwards 15.1
Gore 11.3
Richardson 2.0
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.6
Warner 0.5


Republicans
McCain 40.1
Giuliani 18.0
Romney 17.0
Gingrich 4.6
Huckabee 4.3
Hagel 4.3
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.0
Powell 0.9
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Allen 0.4
Pataki 0.4
Thompson 0.4
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #29 on: January 30, 2007, 03:58:41 PM »

Gore drops, Biden gains
McCain hits a several month low
Hagel gain. He and Gingrich now lead Huckabee.

Democrats
Clinton 46.7
Obama 18.4
Edwards 15.9
Gore 9.0
Richardson 2.3
Biden 2.3
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.6
Warner 0.5


Republicans
McCain 37.3
Giuliani 19.0
Romney 16.8
Hagel 5.5
Gingrich 5.0
Huckabee 4.5
Brownback 4.0
Cheney 1.0
Powell 0.9
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Allen 0.4
Thompson 0.4
Tancredo 0.4

Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #30 on: January 31, 2007, 09:01:21 PM »

UP: Gore, Clark, Allen, Powell
DOWN: Biden

Democrats
Clinton 46.7
Obama 18.8
Edwards 15.3
Gore 10.2
Richardson 2.3
Biden 1.8
Vilsack 1.3
Clark 1.1
Dodd 0.6
Warner 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.3
Giuliani 18.6
Romney 17.2
Hagel 5.5
Gingrich 5.0
Huckabee 4.5
Brownback 3.7
Powell 1.6
Cheney 1.0
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.4
Thompson 0.4
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #31 on: February 02, 2007, 04:45:28 PM »

UP: Clinton, Gore
DOWN: Hagel, Gingrich

Democrats
Clinton 48.3
Obama 18.7
Edwards 15.0
Gore 11.4
Richardson 2.1
Clark 1.5
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.1
Dodd 0.5
Warner 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.2
Giuliani 18.8
Romney 17.4
Hagel 5.0
Huckabee 4.6
Brownback 3.9
Gingrich 3.5
Rice 2.1
Powell 1.5
Cheney 1.0
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.7
Hunter 0.7
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Thompson 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #32 on: February 02, 2007, 04:53:11 PM »

State odds for Democrats:

DC 95.0
MA 90.0
RI 90.0
NY 89.5
CA 89.0
VT 87.0
CT 85.0
DE 85.0
HI 85.0
IL 85.0
MD 85.0
NJ 80.0
MI 75.0
OR 75.0
PA 75.0
WA 75.0
ME 70.0
MN 70.0
WI 69.0
NH 65.0
NM 60.0
FL 50.0
IA 50.0
OH 50.0
MO 45.0
VA 35.0
CO 30.0
AZ 30.0
NV 30.0
TN 25.5
AR 25.0
WV 25.0
IN 20.0
LA 20.0
NC 20.0
SC 15.5
KY 15.0
KS 15.0
GA 15.0
AK 15.0
MT 15.0
NE 15.0
SD 15.0
ID 10.0
MS 10.0
ND 10.0
OK 10.0
WY 10.0
AL 8.0
TX 5.0
UT 5.0

Party winner
Democrat 55.3
Republican 43.0
Field 1.8

DemHouse 75.0
DemSenate 76.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #33 on: February 03, 2007, 04:30:59 PM »

UP: Cheney
DOWN: Clinton, Gore

Democrats
Clinton 47.1
Obama 18.9
Edwards 15.0
Gore 9.6
Richardson 2.1
Clark 1.5
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.1
Dodd 0.5
Warner 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.2
Giuliani 18.6
Romney 17.4
Hagel 5.5
Huckabee 4.6
Brownback 3.8
Gingrich 3.4
Rice 2.0
Powell 1.5
Cheney 1.4
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Thompson 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #34 on: February 04, 2007, 06:04:48 PM »

UP: Clinton, Kerry, McCain
DOWN: Pataki, Thompson

Democrats
Clinton 48.5
Obama 18.5
Edwards 15.0
Gore 9.6
Richardson 2.3
Clark 1.5
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Dodd 0.5
Warner 0.5
Kerry 0.4


Republicans
McCain 39.5
Giuliani 18.6
Romney 17.6
Hagel 5.1
Huckabee 5.0
Brownback 3.9
Gingrich 3.7
Rice 1.8
Powell 1.4
Cheney 1.4
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.6
Hunter 0.5
Bloomberg 0.4
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #35 on: February 05, 2007, 08:10:23 PM »

UP: Gore, Giuliani
DOWN: McCain

Democrats
Clinton 47.8
Obama 18.2
Edwards 15.3
Gore 11.0
Richardson 2.3
Biden 1.6
Clark 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Warner 0.8
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.2
Giuliani 19.9
Romney 17.6
Gingrich 5.0
Hagel 5.0
Huckabee 4.4
Brownback 4.0
Powell 1.5
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.3
Bush 0.7
Allen 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Bloomberg 0.6
Thompson 0.6
Pataki 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #36 on: February 07, 2007, 04:29:06 PM »

Giuliani near record high

Democrats
Clinton 48.0
Obama 19.4
Edwards 14.4
Gore 9.1
Richardson 2.4
Biden 1.6
Clark 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.3
Giuliani 20.7
Romney 17.6
Huckabee 5.4
Hagel 5.0
Gingrich 3.8
Brownback 3.7
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.4
Powell 1.0
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Thompson 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Allen 0.5

Party winner
Democrat 55.1
Republican 43.1
Field 2.0

Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #37 on: February 08, 2007, 09:25:59 PM »

DOWN: Clinton, Obama, McCain, Huckabee
UP: Richardson, Gingrich

Democrats
Clinton 47.0
Obama 18.4
Edwards 13.9
Gore 9.0
Richardson 2.8
Biden 1.5
Clark 1.5
Vilsack 1.2
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 37.0
Giuliani 21.4
Romney 18.1
Hagel 4.9
Gingrich 4.9
Huckabee 4.6
Brownback 3.7
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.4
Powell 1.0
Bush 0.7
Hunter 0.6
Thompson 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Pataki 0.5
Allen 0.4

Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #38 on: February 11, 2007, 05:10:26 PM »

Brownback, Hagel, Gingrich, and Huckabee continue playing leapfrog.

Democrats
Clinton 47.6
Obama 19.7
Edwards 13.9
Gore 9.4
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.2
Clark 1.1
Vilsack 1.0
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 38.5
Giuliani 20.5
Romney 18.1
Brownback 5.2
Gingrich 5.0
Hagel 4.2
Huckabee 4.2
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.3
Powell 1.3
Bloomberg 0.8
Thompson 0.7
Bush 0.6
Hunter 0.6
Allen 0.4
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #39 on: February 13, 2007, 03:41:31 PM »

Earlier today, Giuliani hit a record high of 25.

UP: Clinton, Giuliani
DOWN: Edwards, McCain, Gingrich, Brownback, Powell, Thompson


Democrats
Clinton 49.5
Obama 20.1
Edwards 12.8
Gore 9.3
Richardson 2.8
Biden 1.1
Clark 1.1
Vilsack 0.7
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.5


Republicans
McCain 36.2
Giuliani 24.0
Romney 18.5
Hagel 4.1
Huckabee 4.1
Gingrich 3.4
Brownback 3.3
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Bloomberg 0.5
Bush 0.6
Hunter 0.6
Allen 0.4
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #40 on: February 14, 2007, 03:25:22 PM »

Obama near record high.

DOWN: Clinton, Dodd
UP: Obama, Edwards

Democrats
Clinton 48.6
Obama 21.5
Edwards 13.5
Gore 9.6
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.1
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.6
Dodd 0.2



Republicans
McCain 36.4
Giuliani 23.2
Romney 18.5
Huckabee 4.2
Hagel 4.1
Brownback 3.7
Gingrich 3.6
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Hunter 0.9
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Allen 0.4
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #41 on: February 15, 2007, 03:00:05 PM »

Obama and Giuliani both near record highs.

UP: Clinton, Obama, Biden, Giuliani
DOWN: Edwards

Democrats
Clinton 49.5
Obama 23.0
Edwards 11.7
Gore 9.1
Richardson 2.6
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.6
Dodd 0.2



Republicans
McCain 36.0
Giuliani 24.9
Romney 18.4
Huckabee 4.1
Hagel 4.1
Gingrich 3.5
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.7
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #42 on: February 17, 2007, 01:41:54 AM »

Clinton breaks 50% for the first time in a while.
McCain is at a several month low.

UP: Clinton, Richardson, Giuliani, Gingrich
DOWN: Obama, Gore, McCain

Democrats
Clinton 50.2
Obama 20.5
Edwards 12.1
Gore 8.4
Richardson 3.0
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.0
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.4



Republicans
McCain 33.5
Giuliani 26.3
Romney 18.3
Gingrich 5.0
Huckabee 4.1
Hagel 4.1
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.6
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #43 on: February 17, 2007, 03:23:44 PM »

Gore plunges Sad

Democrats
Clinton 50.2
Obama 20.2
Edwards 11.5
Gore 5.4
Richardson 2.9
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 0.9
Clark 0.8
Warner 0.7
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 32.6
Giuliani 26.1
Romney 18.1
Gingrich 5.4
Hagel 4.2
Huckabee 4.1
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.6
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #44 on: February 18, 2007, 03:50:49 PM »

A lot of talk about how Gore has definitely ruled himself out, but he's still at 6.7%. Note that these things don't add to 100%. Almost every Democrat went up.

Democrats
Clinton 51.5
Obama 22.5
Edwards 11.7
Gore 6.7
Richardson 3.1
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 0.9
Clark 0.8
Dodd 0.8
Warner 0.7
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 34.0
Giuliani 26.7
Romney 18.6
Gingrich 5.4
Hagel 4.3
Huckabee 4.3
Brownback 3.4
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.1
Hunter 0.6
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #45 on: February 19, 2007, 11:47:39 PM »

Obama back near record high.
Gore at a several month low.
Richardson at a several month high.
McCain near a several month low.
Giuliani hit a record high earlier today.

Democrats
Clinton 51.8
Obama 23.0
Edwards 12.5
Gore 6.5
Richardson 3.3
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.1
Clark 0.7
Warner 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 33.3
Giuliani 27.9
Romney 18.0
Gingrich 5.0
Hagel 4.2
Huckabee 4.1
Brownback 3.5
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Bush 0.6
Hunter 0.5
Bloomberg 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #46 on: February 20, 2007, 10:26:14 PM »

McCain continues into several month lows.
Gingrich near a record high.

Listing the last trade of everyone with a bid

Democrats
Clinton 50.5
Obama 22.7
Edwards 12.0
Gore 7.2
Richardson 3.3
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 1.1
Clark 0.7
Warner 0.5
Dodd 0.4
Kerry 0.3
Bayh 0.1
Corzine 0.1
Powell 0.1


Republicans
McCain 32.6
Giuliani 26.1
Romney 18.0
Gingrich 5.8
Hagel 4.2
Brownback 3.8
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Powell 1.0
Hunter 0.8
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Allen 0.2
Thompson 0.2
Tancredo 0.1
Paul 0.1
Santorum 0.1
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #47 on: February 22, 2007, 05:34:04 PM »

Obama hit a record high of 24.0 earlier today.
He, Clinton, and Richardson seem to be gaining at Edwards and Gore's expense.

On, the Republican side, Giuliani hits a record high, and has nearly caught up with McCain, who has been steadily falling.

Democrats
Clinton 51.1
Obama 23.9
Edwards 10.8
Gore 7.0
Richardson 4.0
Biden 1.5
Vilsack 0.9
Clark 0.6
Warner 0.5
Dodd 0.5
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 30.7
Giuliani 30.0
Romney 18.0
Gingrich 5.8
Hagel 4.2
Brownback 3.8
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Powell 1.0
Bloomberg 0.7
Bush 0.6
Hunter 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #48 on: February 23, 2007, 03:35:31 PM »

Vilsack drops out, his numbers seem to go to Richardson. The Democrats are down to 10 people with more than 0.1% odds.

Democrats
Clinton 51.3
Obama 23.2
Edwards 11.0
Gore 6.8
Richardson 4.9
Biden 1.5
Clark 0.6
Warner 0.5
Dodd 0.5
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
McCain 30.7
Giuliani 30.0
Romney 18.0
Gingrich 4.9
Hagel 4.5
Huckabee 4.1
Brownback 3.8
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Powell 1.0
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Hunter 0.5
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,836


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #49 on: February 24, 2007, 03:35:58 PM »

Giuliani passes McCain, hitting a record high of 31.0.

Democrats
Clinton 51.0
Obama 22.8
Edwards 11.0
Gore 8.0
Richardson 4.9
Biden 1.5
Clark 0.5
Warner 0.5
Dodd 0.5
Kerry 0.3



Republicans
Giuliani 31.0
McCain 30.3
Romney 18.0
Gingrich 4.9
Hagel 4.5
Huckabee 4.1
Brownback 3.8
Cheney 1.4
Rice 1.2
Powell 1.0
Bush 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Hunter 0.5
Logged
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