How will your state vote in the presidential election, county by county? (user search)
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  How will your state vote in the presidential election, county by county? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will your state vote in the presidential election, county by county?  (Read 12818 times)
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« on: May 11, 2012, 10:28:26 PM »

Here's Ohio in a roughly 50/50 race:



This has a lot of barely Romney counties since Ohio has a lot of ~R+1 counties in it and I figured the Appalachian part of the state isn't Obama's best ground, so I only gave him Athens, Monroe, and Tuscarawas.
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2012, 10:53:24 PM »

Are you sure there would be so many Romney >40% counties?

You're right there probably are too many of them. The real issue is that I wasn't sure what to do with the southeast other than move it against Obama.
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #2 on: May 12, 2012, 09:41:42 AM »

Here's Ohio in a roughly 50/50 race:



This has a lot of barely Romney counties since Ohio has a lot of ~R+1 counties in it and I figured the Appalachian part of the state isn't Obama's best ground, so I only gave him Athens, Monroe, and Tuscarawas.

Is there any reason you have Tuscarawas going for Obama, because having a look at 2008 it only went for Obama with less than 50%?

Not particularly. I just figured he would still win something else besides Athens and Monroe and I am doubting it will be Jefferson. He could also still win Belmont.
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