For those in the know, what's the general thinking on OH-14? Sabato has the race at Lean R (others Likely R), but Democrats seem to have a reasonably strong candidate and it's a pretty swingy district at the presidential level. Apart from OH-01 and OH-12 (and maybe OH-10), it seems to be the only other competitive House race in the state. Right now, it's unfortunately looking like Ohio was the most successful gerrymander this decade.
OH-14 has traditionally had no problem electing moderate R's by a huge margin. Joyce would seem pretty well set to continue in that vein. On paper it should be competitive, but it's probably a wave insurance tier seat with Joyce.
