Brightest spots for Democrats (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Brightest spots for Democrats (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which of these states was the most pleasant surprise for the Democrats?
#1
Colo.--Kerry did better than Gore, Salazar brothers pickup House and Senate seat, Democrats take control of State House and State Senate
 
#2
Mont.--Schweitzer wins Governorship, Kerry did better than Gore, Democrats take over State Senate
 
#3
Ill.--Bean upsets Crane, Kerry easily wins, Obama landslide
 
#4
Ohio--of the 10 largest states, Ohio was the only one to swing to Kerry
 
#5
Vt.--largest swing to Kerry, Leahy and Sanders easily re-elected, Democrats pickup State House
 
#6
N.H.--Lynch upsets Benson, Kerry did better than Gore
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Brightest spots for Democrats  (Read 4120 times)
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« on: December 07, 2004, 08:07:26 PM »
« edited: December 07, 2004, 08:37:46 PM by Vice President Keystone Phil »

The fact that Allyson won NE Philly by 23 points when it has been rumored Schwartz said Street is a great mayor and Katz, who was popular in NE Philly, tore her out in the paper. 

I hope we can keep this going and get a competent Dem mayor, such as Jon Saidel,  in 2007.  It's a crying shame there are bad gerrymanders which the Dems are powerless in NE Philly to take some seats back, but in PA-170 Brendan Boyle will run again and do much better.

Alright this is the perfect situation, my friends, where PA 13/SE PA is brought up and it does have to do with this discussion so don't start complaining about us debating about it...

Schwartz won NE Philly by 23 points because the Brown campaign manager pretty much ignored this part of the district. I have told you this before. By volunteering with the campaign I was able to see these things so don't just think I'm trying to make excuses. The straight Dem voters also hurt more than I expected. But I do believe that if there was equal attention given to the NE Philly part of the district, Brown could have won here or atleast made it a 4 or 5 point difference.

As for the Philly Mayoral race in 2007, the Dems pretty much have it won unless Rizzo is the GOP nominee. Even then it will be difficult for a Republican to win. I'm not a fan of Saidel at all but I would prefer him over Johnny Doc, Wilson Goode, Jr., Chaka Fattah (yeah can you believe that one? Fattah is a rumored candidate in 2007 and apparently he had a meeting with Street about running. Mayor Fattah...now there's a scary thought...).

As for Boyle, he will run again and he will do better. However, I don't think he'll do much better. He received 42% of the vote this year. He'll probably get about 45% in '06. I think we can agree that he won't win it in two years. When the seat opens up, that's a different story.

(While I believe we are justified when we have this sort of conversation, I think we should try to keep this conversation to the PA 13 board.)
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