Quinnipiac: 12 Point Shift From Corzine To Christie

[Keystone Phil]

So Corzine is at a 41% approval rating with only (only in NJ can I say this...) a 50% disapproval rating? Yeah, this guy has it wrapped up.

[Keystone Phil]

For reasons I cannot fathom, over six months away from an election in New Jersey, Democrat statewide candidates frequently seem vunerable, but as election day approaches they get stronger, and eventually win.

Because NJ hates their elected officials but when the election rolls around, they remember that they're partisan hacks and stick with their Democratic leaders.

[Keystone Phil]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I can't think of a single Republican who had a 6 point lead in NJ since Christie Whitman.

(Except for Doug Forrester, who had a 20+ lead on Bob Torricelli.  But that one really doesn't count because it never made it to election day.)

I'm pretty sure Kean had a healthy lead of Menendez for some time in the summer of 2006. I'd bet that Forrester even had a bit of a lead against Corzine for some time in 2005.

[Keystone Phil]

And we all know that the polls in 2002 were very accurate.

We can't judge accuracy on a race that never happened.