Does Obama stand a chance in Michigan?

[Keystone Phil]

This thread is stupid. He won the state by 17 points. Even if the election had been an even 50-50 election, Obama still wound have won MI comfortably.

The thread is about 2012.

[Keystone Phil]

This thread is stupid. He won the state by 17 points. Even if the election had been an even 50-50 election, Obama still wound have won MI comfortably.

The thread is about 2012.

Yes. If a candidate wins a state by 17 points in one election, then he surely at least has "a chance" at winning that state again in the next election and will likely win it again. There's no reason why there would be a 30 point swing in the state.

You were addressing it as if it was about 2008 by using the past tense.

Sure he has a chance but you then go on to say he'd win it comfortably.

How the hell can you say he's likely to win it again so soon? Sure there's a reason why there would be a swing - if the economy is still in the toilet or if it gets even worse. People around here need to stop thinking that politics is governed by trend rules.

[Keystone Phil]

Not saying it's likely he'll win it again

...but...you did.

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Totally agree

I hate the arrogance on both sides when it comes to the future political landscape.

[Keystone Phil]

It's possible for a Republican to pick up Michigan, but Obama would really have to screw up big time in order for the counties outside Wayne County, such as Oakland and Kent, to go Republican in 2012.


McCollum for Governor 2010

Welcome, my friend. 

Just a word of advice - put the "McCollum for Governor" line in your signature, not at the end of every post. By the way, I'm a McCollum fan myself.