True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,144
|
 |
« on: January 19, 2012, 10:20:12 PM » |
|
C is not at all plausible. Austria-Hungary would never have gone to war without a German promise to help guard against a Russian stab in the back, and Wilhelm would not have reneged on such a promise.
B is possible, but not without a POD prior to the assassination that convinced Russia that it was not yet time to fight a general European war.
A is the only plausible scenario of the three you presented.
Another scenario would be:
D. The Kaiser ends his cruise early and convinces Austria-Hungary to not press for the acceptance of the demand for Austrian police to be accepted into Serbia.
|
