The Muslim Vote

[phk]

Bush won 80% in 2000.

[phk]

One of the best ways to measure the swing in the terrorist Muslim vote from 2000 --> 2004 is to look at the voting stats for Dearborn, Michigan, whose population is 30.0% of Arab descent, the highest I have found.

In 2000, Dearborn City was won by Bush with 51.69% of the vote, and Dearborn Heights City was won by Gore with 51.58%.

In 2004, Kerry won Dearborn City with 58.55% and Dearborn Heights City with 56.35% of the vote.

These swings are considerably large, especially when factoring in the Dems performed much worse relative to the GOP in 2004 than 2000.

Even though that area probably has the highest percentage of Muslims in the US, having a lot of Arabs does not mean lots of Muslims. Only 25% of Arab Americans are Muslim. Christian Arab Americans outnumber Muslim Arab Americans.

I'm pretty sure that African-American Muslims and South Asian Muslims (Pakistani, Indian, Bangladeshi) outnumber Arab-American Muslims.

[phk]

Large numbers of Iranians, too. And IIRC the Iranian community in the US (that is, the politically conscious and organized part) is made up mostly of pro-Shah fascistic assholes and their descendants, unlike that in Germany (reduplicate statement in brackets) which is mostly made up of people from the democratic/socialist wing of the revolution... who usually recognize that what Iran has had since Khomeini's death is not good but better than anything that has gone since Mossadegh's death...
Bottomline: I don't think they swung much in 2004.

A lot of Iranian-Americans that are in the pro-Shah camp don't consider themselves Muslim.

[phk]

Craig Unger has some data making the case the Muslim vote swung Florida in favor of Bush. I find this questionable, however.

Given how close Florida was, anything could have swung it.