1980 election... (user search)
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Author Topic: 1980 election...  (Read 9072 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« on: April 08, 2004, 04:06:44 PM »
Based on the new votes, something along those lines perhaps. Smiley




Reagan still wins comfortably.
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2004, 09:23:35 AM »
Quote from: Justin on April 08, 2004, 07:46:52 PM
Here's the Breakdown:

Reagan/Bush: 324 Electoral votes
Carter/Mondale: 168 Electoral Votes
Anderson/Lucey: 46 Electoral votes

How did you figure this out anyhow?


I just assumed our percentages for the national election, and then assumed a uniform swing all over the country, using the 1980 stats on this site. So if Anderson gets 32% here, compared to 7% in real life, I add 25 points to his vote total in in every state, and do the same changes for Reagan and Carter and sees who wins.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2004, 09:30:59 AM »
Sob...Anderson is dropping rapidly now... Sad



This is kind of Taft-like.

Reagan: 472

Carter: 41

Anderson: 25
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #3 on: April 12, 2004, 09:10:28 AM »
No more Andersson EVs... Sad

But Carter is coming closer to Reagan now...



Reagan: 320

Carter: 218
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2004, 01:56:09 PM »
With the poll being a tie between Carter and Reagan, Carter wins!



Carter: 297

Reagan: 241

The same as in 1976. Smiley But with some differences in the states.
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