Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,783
Political Matrix E: 0.39, S: -0.70
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« on: November 14, 2004, 05:38:01 AM » |
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You got a point JJ, but what you're missing is that the trend is coming to an end. The Republicans dominated from 1968 and onwards. Look at it in 40 year cycles. You have a huge landslide for the dominating party in 1932 (1972). You then dominate for a few decades until a moderate with a lot of personal popularty comes along and wins easily in 1952 (1992). After that comes a very close election which the dominating party eventually wins in 1960 (2000). If Dean had been nominated we would probably have had a repeat of 1964. However, we should soon be looking at the end of the GOP trend at the presidential level. BUT! Local politics always lags behind, so just like it took roughly 2 decades for the GOP to go from winning presidential elections to getting control of congress it will take a similar amount of time before the Democrats can win any of the 2 houses.
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