Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 70257 times)
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #25 on: June 07, 2016, 08:17:47 PM »
Clinton's nominal lead not enough in South Dakota to call. 50.13 cap for Bernie with 21 percent in.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #26 on: June 07, 2016, 08:18:43 PM »
NM still TCTC for Hillary. Won't be called until half in for her. Long night for her in NM.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #27 on: June 07, 2016, 08:20:56 PM »
Clinton has won South Dakota.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #28 on: June 07, 2016, 08:25:20 PM »
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It's all probabilities - the larger the pile gets - the harder it is for the pile to move. As the pile gets larger, the range of possibilities for outstanding votes will shrink - roughly in an inverse relationship with the number of votes counted.

This is why in a closer election it takes much longer for it to be called then in blowouts.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #29 on: June 07, 2016, 08:26:39 PM »
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Feel free to dispute my call. Bernie is too far behind.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #30 on: June 07, 2016, 08:27:49 PM »
Bernie has won ND. Congrats Bernie on winning another state.

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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #31 on: June 07, 2016, 08:29:07 PM »
Hillary with 2 percent nominal lead in New Mexico.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #32 on: June 07, 2016, 08:30:17 PM »
Hillary with about a .7 percent true lead in South Dakota.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #33 on: June 07, 2016, 08:32:04 PM »
Hillary's true lead back up to 1.5 percent now in South Dakota.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #34 on: June 07, 2016, 08:32:49 PM »
Anybody else want to contest my call of Clinton for SD? Wink
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #35 on: June 07, 2016, 08:39:15 PM »
To have a shot at SD, he needs to be within 2 percent at 50 percent in. The margin's twice that, with 46 percent. Could be close if the ballots outstanding are helpful, but he'll fall short.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #36 on: June 07, 2016, 08:41:05 PM »
Hillary pulling away in SD. 54-46. It's over Bernie bros.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #37 on: June 07, 2016, 08:46:47 PM »
Times calls ND 20 minutes after I did. Wink
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #38 on: June 07, 2016, 08:48:09 PM »
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We'll see who's right. Pretty sure I am. I already made my call.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #39 on: June 07, 2016, 08:49:18 PM »
NM still TCTC, Hillary call imminent.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #40 on: June 07, 2016, 08:54:11 PM »
Calling NM for Clinton. Congrats Hillary.

Hillary will earn about 120 delegates so far tonight.

Will go into CA needing 95 delegates to lock this up.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #41 on: June 07, 2016, 08:59:16 PM »
Clinton true lead holding at about 1.8 percent in South Dakota.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #42 on: June 07, 2016, 09:07:43 PM »
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She'll go into California needing about 100 delegates. We'll know in about a hour and a half whether Bernie has a chance to actually pull this off.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #43 on: June 07, 2016, 09:09:27 PM »
Clinton true lead down to about 1.4 percent in South Dakota.  2/3rds in.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #44 on: June 07, 2016, 09:15:26 PM »
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(Bernie pct*100) + ((1/n) * 100)) - 50.  Where n is percent in.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #45 on: June 07, 2016, 09:20:47 PM »
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LOL
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #46 on: June 07, 2016, 09:22:43 PM »
Still waiting for the Times to catch up with my SD call. Wink
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #47 on: June 07, 2016, 09:24:47 PM »
New Mexico has gone for Clinton.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #48 on: June 07, 2016, 09:26:10 PM »
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I called it an hour and five minutes ago. You're going to find out why the math works, right here, right now. Cheesy
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #49 on: June 07, 2016, 09:27:40 PM »
True lead still about a percent with 29 percent outstanding.

Bernie to have a chance at this needs to be within a percent and a third at 75 percent in.
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