Australian Federal Election 18th of May 2019 (user search)
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  Australian Federal Election 18th of May 2019 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Australian Federal Election 18th of May 2019  (Read 21429 times)
BigSkyBob
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« on: May 21, 2019, 11:52:39 AM »

On the great "the polls were wrong"/"The polls were within the margin of error" debate I would add something no one has yet to mention. It is not merely that the polls were wrong, but, the analysis of the polls were wrong right up until the election.

The polls continued to tighten right up to election day. Instead of the pundits noting the election is now close, they kept rehashing the same talking point that labor was ahead in every poll for almost all of the three years. They seemed to give more credence to the weight of all the polls, rather than the state the polls, today. Nor, did they seem to give the notion of poll momentum any consideration, when, sometimes, the factors that are moving voters in the recent past are still in effect and still moving additional voters.
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