This.
Obama is probably up around 2 points nationally. This time last month he was also up 2 points and led in all the above states. Last week he may have been up 4-5 points and led in all the above states. When he was tied with Romney, or close to it around the time of the RNC he was ahead in all of the above states (Florida excluded perhaps) An Obama lead of anything in the range of 0 to 5 points doesn't really shift any of these states either way. We've had no serious polling from Florida nor any post Friday polling from Ohio so we have to wait and see however even if Romney was up 1-2 points nationally it's possible, just possible that Obama would still lead the Electoral College.
