US House Redistricting: North Carolina

[JewCon]

Maybe, but you can ensure that both Shuler and McIntyre will 1) never be safe and 2) will vote Republican as often as possible.

And 3) Persuade them in so many words that they will find a brighter political future as newly minted Republicans.  

Which brings me to this question -what is the likelihood that either would switch parties, especially after redistricting?  

Shuler's chances of switching parties are as good as his NFL Career was.


BAM!!!!

[JewCon]

That snake district actually helps Republicans.

I have to agree. I mean, If you get rid of the snake you'll have to give the Dems a Charlotte seat AND a Winston-Salem / Greensboro / High Point seat.

I have tried getting rid of the snake numerous times and it helps the Dems everytime.

[JewCon]

That snake district actually helps Republicans.

I have to agree. I mean, If you get rid of the snake you'll have to give the Dems a Charlotte seat AND a Winston-Salem / Greensboro / High Point seat.

I have tried getting rid of the snake numerous times and it helps the Dems everytime.

Run the snake East to Chapel Hill and Durham rather than South to Charlotte. Charlotte snakes to Lumberton/Fayetteville, the First takes East Raleigh, and there you have 10-3 GOP.

Nice. Good idea

[JewCon]

I made a 9-4 map that pits Foxx (R) with Shuler (D) ; Price (D) with Miller (D) ; McIntrye (D) with Kissell (D)

NC-01 is 51.6% black
NC-12 is 44.5% to 33.5% black-white
NC-08 is 44% White to 36% Black

I'll post a map soon.

[JewCon]

Kissell lives in Coble's district, but would be dumb to run there. He would def. run against McIntrye who has a more liberal seat, with most of Kissell's old territory.

The 4th district is my masterpiece It'll never happen, but it looks so cool!

Foxx-Shuler may actually hurt repubs, it depends if Foxx can moderate down a tinsy bit. Shuler is very popular in all of Western Carolina, so the Asheville split may not keep him down. He will lose with this map, but potetentially could come back 2 years later and win.

Overall, I think this is a clean map, 9-4 GOP. Unless Shuler wins, then 8-5.

My prediction for Foxx-Shuler with that seat:
Foxx (R): 54%
Shuler (D): 45%

He may actually run in NC-11, which is slightly less GOP and open. But, more liberal areas like Boone are in Foxx's seat.