The world in Constituencies

[M]

I like this a lot. I'm wondering about Israel-Palestine-Cyprus; a bare Jewish plurality, Muslims striving for dominate control; the Greeks balance siding with the Jews to stave off an Arab-Turkish govt. Weird.

Or you could shovel Cyprus into Greece and leave Israel as it is; in that case it's basically the same but with a much more powerful Muslim minority destined to gain dominance via demographic a-la-Lebanon in twenty years or so.

Could you tell us roughly how many districts there are each for the various major world regions?

I feel that this scenario is plausible in thrity to fifty years, given globalization trends and the rise of democracy globally; however, it will certainly not happen tomorrow.

[M]

What happened to Western Papua?

Some of these names need to be considerably more romantic, interesting, and historical.

[M]

Saudi Arabia probably for Kerry. (I know CP Abdullah backed Bush, but the population is largely Islamists and in these internationalist straw polls Islamists have consistently backed Kerry). Bush would win Cuba. Manitoba and Saskatchewan MIGHT be competitive. Kerry does probably win Uruguay. Bush wins Poland? If so, he probably wins much of Eastern Europe, it wouldn't be an isolated incident. Also, a chance at Italy and Iberia? Certainly wins Iran and Afghanistan, and probably Iraq. Maybe also Japan, Australia, Russian bloc??? And China is a complete unknown. Bush also certainly wins Israel, can't see if you have it on there.

[M]

Depends on how well established the system is. Our own anti-Federalists virtually disappeared within a few years of the ratification.

What basis is there to assume China would vote socialist? Have they done so before ever, in China's 3000 year history? (Answer: no). The current Chinese ideology is nationalist-huge government-capitalist, or some sort of Italo-fascist/corporate state system. But for all we know, most Chinese might vote for something completely different.

[M]

Bush would win Cuba.

Keep dreaming.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

...seeing as they've just elected a Socialist President.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Bush would have semi-decent poll results in Italy and over Eastern Europe, but Poland and Slovakia are the only countries where an actual win is possible.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

No reason to assume that (see what you said about Islamists)

The populations of Afghanistan and Iran are extremely hostile to Islamism. Iraq is hard to read, but though many are traditional most seem to be quite hostile to Islamism as well, consistently backing the war, democracy, and US troop presence in polls. Bush wins Cuba by 80+%. On what basis do you come to any other conclusion? Assuming all world govts disappeared Nov 1 and were replaced by a world body that ran Bush against Kerry on the 2nd, Cuba would be overwhelmingly for Bush, the candidate most closely linked with anti-Castroism. Bush likely wins Bulgaria and maybe Romania.