Are Jews in the NYC area more conservative than in the US as a whole? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 10:20:20 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Are Jews in the NYC area more conservative than in the US as a whole? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Are Jews in the NYC area more conservative than in the US as a whole?  (Read 1167 times)
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« on: December 02, 2013, 09:19:12 PM »

My feeling is it must be, despite the New York Times-reading Upper West Side liberal stereotype (which is declining demographically) and the large (and growing) Orthodox communities in the area (in Brooklyn and Queens, the Five Towns, Rockland County, Teaneck, etc.) as well as a large population of Russian-speaking Jews.

I haven't seen any recent studies of the Jewish vote in national elections for New York and New Jersey, but it's probably at least 35%.

I suspect Baltimore is more conservative as well, given its large Orthodox population.

In contrast, I suspect the Jews in the Bay Area and around Boston are more liberal than average.

Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« Reply #1 on: December 03, 2013, 02:31:31 AM »

Once upon a time there was a poster here named NY Jew who was essentially a Jewish Rick Santorum. Does that answer your question?

No not really.
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« Reply #2 on: December 03, 2013, 02:35:19 AM »

Basically all Hasids live in or near NYC so yeah. Kind of obvious.

Probably, though it is possible for it to balance out if the non-Orthodox Jewish population is more liberal than elsewhere in the US.

Incidentally the tables have turned from say 60 years ago when the Jewish community in NYC was more left-wing than the US as a whole. 
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2013, 02:03:23 PM »

Does anyone have voting results for more religious suburbs like the Five Towns and Teaneck and suburbs with large (secular) Jewish populations like Scarsdale and Chappaqua?
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2013, 11:06:01 PM »

Checking the UJA Study for the New York area, the most heavily Jewish suburb is Great Neck (around 70%), followed by the Five Towns (56%).  Great Neck I believe is more traditional if not as Orthodox as the Five Towns.

Westchester has a more Reform and secular Jewish population than Nassau and is probably more evenly spread through the county.  The biggest concentration is in South Central Westchester - which includes Scarsdale, White Plains and part of New Rochelle (36%), though I assume this number is higher in Scarsdale alone (maybe 50%?). 

Note the UJA only covers NYC, Long Island and Westchester and thus excludes Rockland County and New Jersey.
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2013, 11:22:07 PM »

Can't find the map but I remember the 2008 precinct results in the Five Towns were bad for Obama.  Especially compared to previous Democratic presidential. The  area as a whole has gotten much more religious in nature. Areas like Cedarhurst used to have a thriving shopping area on Saturdays but that is a thing of the past. Furthermore, many in the community latched on to the Obama is anti-Israel meme early. Very generally speaking where you fall on the religious spectrum correlates to national level voting patterns. Although I have noticed a subtle but marked drift toward the right from even the secular community. My pithy and mildly off color saying used to be, you don't wear a hat, you're a Democrat.

The Canadian equivalent of the Five Towns is the Toronto suburb of Thornhill.  It's a high-income, very Orthodox suburb where the Israel issue really matters and which has become a stronghold for the Conservatives.  Some of the polls (precincts) in the Orthodox Jewish section went over 90% Conservative.  Even when Stephen Harper's Conservatives go down to an almost inevitable defeat in the next election, Thornhill could very well stick with the Conservatives to reward "more pro-Israel than most Israelis" Harper. 

Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,047


« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2013, 11:39:51 PM »

If there's a 70/30 split nationally, perhaps a 55/45 split in and around NYC sounds reasonable given its much larger proportion of Orthodox, traditional and Russian Jews.

It would be also interesting look at other metro results, comparing say Skokie and Highland Park in Chicagoland or the various "Jewish" sections of L.A. etc.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 12 queries.