Bloomberg/Selzer National Poll: Clinton leads Trump and Cruz, trails Kasich (user search)
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  Bloomberg/Selzer National Poll: Clinton leads Trump and Cruz, trails Kasich (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bloomberg/Selzer National Poll: Clinton leads Trump and Cruz, trails Kasich  (Read 2198 times)
Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« on: March 23, 2016, 09:41:40 PM »

To all the satire Trump tools around this forum the past year trying to claim Marco, Jeb, and Kasich's electability would be crushed by Donald: you've yet again been proven as a bunch of scrubs. To every liberal and nutjob conservative who have tried giving this clown credit for the past year, you can all go fu[ck] yourself. It's a shame you've given the American people a lying corporatist corrupt poorly pandering broad and a nimwitted clown as your best options.

B..B..B...BUT IT'S A POLLING ERROR (X348739847)!

MUUH BAD POLLSTER.

MUUH REGISTERED VOTERS.

MUUH SAVIOR OF WHITE WORKING CLASS.

MUUH REAGAN DEMOCRATS.

MUH WE HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE!

MUUH BLACKS LOVE HIM.

MUUH MOST ELECTABLE GOP'er.


You have no one to thank but your party and its voters who are about to nominate him. Even your runner up is a crazy conservative who wants to ban muslims from immigrating into the United States and even monitoring them like animals. Crazy stuff.
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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2016, 11:01:09 PM »

Nice to see that Clinton's poll numbers is going back into pre-2015 levels.
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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2016, 07:26:53 PM »

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

I used the fivethirtyeight tool to see how the map would look like (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/) and I set it to this:

College educated whites: 54% D, 76% Turnout
Non college educated whites: 63% R, 58% Turnout
Blacks: 93% D, 64% Turnout
Hispanics: 85% D, 60% Turnout
Asians/Others: 80% D, 58% Turnout

It comes up to 58% Clinton - 40.2% Trump

The map looks like this:



445-93

http://i.imgur.com/1FqEdzS.png
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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« Reply #3 on: March 25, 2016, 01:57:27 AM »

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

58% D to 40% R General Election result swung uniformly from 2012:



Take away MS, add TX, and you've got a map.

Utah and Alaska would flip before South Carolina, Mississippi, or Missouri.

Idk I think Missouri would flip before Utah, even if the Mormons don't like Trump.
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