2017 Virginia HoD Thread (user search)
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  2017 Virginia HoD Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2017 Virginia HoD Thread  (Read 63563 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: November 08, 2017, 11:58:17 PM »

The VA State Senate is going to flip easily in 2019 if last night was any indication. With the GOP still holding the presidency is probably 90% likely based on those Clinton northern VA seats. Dems need 1 seat there and probably can get 2-4. The House could be easy, just put a ton of pressure on 2-6 seats, win a couple. This will mean Dems will CONTROL redistricting in 2021.

VA-1 probably becomes a Prince William D leaning district and VA-7 a Henrico one. Dems can also adjust VA-2 to include more of Norfolk. Dems can create at least a 8-4 map if not 9-3 or 8-3-1. Remember, VA is gaining a seat in 2020 census.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2017, 07:25:44 PM »

I think at least a few state reps, senators would take a deal to vote for Medicaid expansion in exchange for something good for their district etc.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2018, 03:29:10 PM »

Dems only need 2 in the VA house, 1 in the Senate so they probably get it in 2019. They would be stupid to agree to a commission at this point. Roberts ending commissions would make NJ, CA, WA subject to Dem gerrymanders and AZ is rapidly trending toward tossup territory that could lean D soon enough anyway. A Governor's veto pen is enough to make PA, FL, MI drawn by the courts instead of the GOP as well.
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