The Delegate Fight: Obama Clinches! (user search)
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  The Delegate Fight: Obama Clinches! (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Delegate Fight: Obama Clinches!  (Read 49431 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 67,867
United Kingdom


« on: February 20, 2008, 12:40:21 PM »

Just a quick something to note:

If Hillary goes 50-50 in pledged delegates from here on out (certainly not unfeasible), and wins 60% of the remaining unpledged delegates (she's won about 60% of the ones who've endorsed so far), she beats Obama by 3 delegates in the end, even without MI & FL being restored.

So don't declare her dead just yet.

Hmm? I thought the numbers required were higher than that.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,867
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2008, 12:51:12 PM »

Just a quick something to note:

If Hillary goes 50-50 in pledged delegates from here on out (certainly not unfeasible), and wins 60% of the remaining unpledged delegates (she's won about 60% of the ones who've endorsed so far), she beats Obama by 3 delegates in the end, even without MI & FL being restored.

So don't declare her dead just yet.

Hmm? I thought the numbers required were higher than that.

Unpledged delegates are mainly superdelegates, right?  I'm guessing that's the point, although I suspect it won't break that way.  But who knows?

Yes, but even so I'd assumed the numbers needed were higher. That's the trouble with being terrible at maths I guess.
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