Mister Mets
YaBB God
Posts: 4,440
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« on: March 24, 2015, 04:54:14 PM » |
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It seems ridiculous to assume that Hillary Clinton would be an overwhelming favorite for the Democratic party's nomination in 2016, and have no shot in 2020.
She'll still have many of her current advantages in 2020 (name recognition, appeal to Obama and Bill Clinton fans, milestone of first female President, record of experience.) The primary is likely to be more difficult, but if she were to run, she'd surely be a contender.
Of losing candidates, McCain and Dole were too old to run again, and had lost major milestones. Gore could have won 2004. Romney could have been competitive in the current cycle, and I'd still bet a dollar to get a hundred bucks if he's the party's nominee. Kerry just didn't fit what the Democratic party wanted in 2008 (a war hero provided a contrast with Bush, but the party was more excited about the milestones Hillary and Obama represented.)
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