Ukrainian Parliamentary Election, 2019

[smoltchanov]

Not bad. Zelensky is sane and we can deal with him (probably). There are numerous not so big, but important for many people, problems, that could be solved if there is desire...

[smoltchanov]

Looks like the only interesting thing to watch is whether Sich or Golos gets in. I imagine Ze-kom is hoping for the latter, since they more likely than not won't get a majority and they already said they won't coalition with Tymoshenko. Vakarchuk embarrassed himself in the debate, but he probably still has an edge there.

Whatever the results, the way this election has shaped up does not make me optimistic. Ze's list, and especially candidates for SMDs, are full of people with old connections, and the real Maidan activists have almost entirely been removed from the political sphere.

Activists are always removed from political sphere, when they stop to be needed. Politics is a cynical thing, and "waste" is thrown out mercilessly....

[smoltchanov]

Well.  Aftet this election Zelensky will have no excuses not to deliver as he will have total control.

[sarcasm]By such logic our Russian "United Russia" must be dead from shame already, as it has total control for many years, and delivered .... nothing. But, by some reason, it's not happening[/sarcasm]

[smoltchanov]

If neccessary - Servant may make coalition with Fatherland and Voice leaving both poisonous Poroshenko and "too pro-Putin" Boyko in opposition. IMHO, that would be a natural step for Zelensky....

[smoltchanov]

Well, with slightly more then 1/3 of vote counted, results are more or less what was expected: Servant dominates everywhere, but Galichina and Donetsk-Luhansk regions (even Kharkov mostly went for it). Correspondingly - Russia-leaning opposition is strongest in the East (as it always was), and weak in the West, Poroshenko and Timoshenko lost a lot of votes, but some residual base - remains. And so on. Rada will be more or less "loyal" to Zelensky, unlike present one.

[smoltchanov]

Women currently are leading in 24 of 199 majoritarian districts. In 2014 only one woman won in fptp district.

Well, rapid progress, but - still a long road to go...

[smoltchanov]

Looks like Ze will easily get his majority. 'Only' low 40s in the PR vote, but cleaning house with pluralities in the SMDs.

Usual situation in fptp elections... Our own "United Russia" routinely wins the same way...