VA: Public Policy Polling: Obama leads all Republicans (user search)
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  VA: Public Policy Polling: Obama leads all Republicans (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA: Public Policy Polling: Obama leads all Republicans  (Read 6430 times)
colincb
Rookie
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Posts: 60


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -2.43

« on: December 14, 2011, 03:07:39 PM »
« edited: December 14, 2011, 03:15:52 PM by colincb »

It surprises me too as the last 4 polls (none by PPP) had Romney up by small margins.  The unfavorables for Romney and Gingrich are eye opening:

"Romney (33/52) and Gingrich (31/55) are both seen negatively by a majority of voters in the state"
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colincb
Rookie
**
Posts: 60


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -2.43

« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2011, 12:24:41 PM »

Why do you say Colorado goes GOP?  Most of the polling has been rather in favor of Obama there, no?  On the whole the polls seem to put Ohio more GOP leaning than Colorado, if I remember correctly.

Ohio is pretty much a toss-up between Romney and Obama according to 5 polls over the last 90 days. [Quinnipiac 9/28 R+2;  PPP 10/18 tie;  Quinnipiac 10/26 D+4;  PPP 10/9 D+9; and Quinnipiac 12/8 R+1].  Gingrich trailed Romney's results by 2% and 4% in the last two polls.

CO has only had one poll during the last 90 days by PPP on 12/7 with D+2 vs Romney and D+7 and at the 50% threshold vs Gingrich.  Obama led Romney in two earlier PPP polls for CO by 6-7%.
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colincb
Rookie
**
Posts: 60


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -2.43

« Reply #2 on: December 17, 2011, 02:38:44 PM »
« Edited: December 17, 2011, 02:41:25 PM by colincb »

A poll about approval doesn't mean too much.  Obama has to run against somebody and both Romney and Gingrich don't have high approval ratings in CO either according to the same pollster.

As far as party ID who knows. It's all a crap shoot if you ask me whether one poll in the last 4 months with results within the MOE is reasonable or not 11+ months from election day 2012. Most have it as a toss-up and I haven't seen anything in this thread or in polling to indicate it's not.
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