Northeast - Lean D overall
That's absolutely wrong. Look at the polls:
New Hampshire and Maine's 1st congressional district are gonna go to Ron Paul; he also has realistic chances of winning Connecticut. Even Massachusetts with all its high-level students will heavily swing red, while staying blue, of course.
And that's exactly what I heavily doubt. the Southerners won't rejoice in voting for a libertarian. They either stay at home, which will result in turning their home states blue, or they predestine a contemporary version of George Wallace as their personal third-party candidate.
Hell yeah! Ahmadinedschad is gonna give his vote to Paul...