Who Will Drop Out before NH Primary?

[jravnsbo]

Lieberman is in till FEb 3 I believe.  He has bet his whole run on those states, why drop out before they have their returns?

AZ, DE and OK are his key states.

I'd say the most likely to drop out is Gephardt with an IA loss, otherwise they all stay till NH and then Kerry drops out.

[jravnsbo]

I know Hilliary isn't running and that is good b/c then she has no chance of winning.  WHEW!

Thought Gore was scarey enough and Dean is a bit off , but Hilliary.

[jravnsbo]

plus Hilliary could only get it at the convention anyway as she has missed alot of the deadlines, so not happening.

[jravnsbo]

Braun is done after feb 3 when she shows she can't siphone votes off Sharpton in SC and will drop out.

Gephardt himself has said IA is a must win, so he loses hard to limp on for 2 more weeks into his home state.

Kerry done after NH.

Feb 3 is big day for Clark/Edwards/Lieberman they have to break through somewhere or done.

Kucinich could win OH as a fav son, but about it.  Plus he will have to start looking at House campaign.

Sharpton in it till the end.  No reason not to.  He wants to be the black leader and get a convention speech.

[jravnsbo]

No Ohio is just Kucinich's ONLY chance to wina  primary as a fav son.

Kucinich, Sharpton, and Braun never had a chance in the first place.

You've got that right. Those candidates can't even win their own home state. Well, I could see Ohio going for Kucinich, but I doubt it.  New York would go for Dean before Sharpton, and Braun won't win Illinois. Trust me. Gephardt or Dean would win Illinois before Braun. But since the Illinois Primaries aren't until March, my guess is she will be out of the race by then anyway.

Ohio going for Kucinich?? Do you find the democratic electorate there that liberal?? A very large component is blue collar and socially conservative (remember Traficant??) I dont see much in common with then an ol Dennis

[jravnsbo]

Braun out after SC

Kuc--not that it matters! but may drop out when he wants or needs to focus on reelection to House

Sharpton--still think he is in till the convention, he wants a speech, plus could do well in SC and other southern states and if by God ihe would pull it off in one state he gets so much free press ( fromt eh right- ha ha)

Lieberman/Clark/Edwards big day is Feb 3--need something that day or bye bye

Gep needs IA or toast; Kerry needs NH as even Feb 3 looks bleak for him.

Dean in till the end no matter what and I thinkw ill be nominee