How likely is this map? (user search)
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  How likely is this map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How likely is this map?  (Read 1560 times)
HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

« on: May 28, 2012, 10:40:58 PM »

It's one of the likelier scenarios.

Unfortunately, I'm thinking more and more that Romney will come up just short. I can see him winning all of Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Ohio. But I don't see where he makes up that one extra state that he needs. New Hampshire looks unlikely. Iowa looks unlikely. Nevada looks unlikely. Colorado looks unlikely.

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HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2012, 11:56:21 PM »

Florida is way more favorable to Romney than Virginia is. Romney needs to lock in Florida and North Carolina early (he's doing an okay job of it at the moment). The heavy lifting will be in Ohio and Virginia. I also think he can pull it off. But again, it's the one extra state that will really get Romney. I don't know where he gets those EVs.
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HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2012, 11:20:50 AM »

Haha, I hear ya. As much as I hate the 2008 map, it sure is purdy.
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