County predictions: 50/50

[bushforever]

I made predictions regarding 55 counties that were close Gore in 2000 that I predicted would go Bush in 2004.  Well, as it turns out, 31 of those predictions were wrong, while 24 were right.  I was generally pleased, as I made that list on the assumption of a landslide.  I didn't know I would get half those counties right in a close election.  My original post appeared back in the 2004 U.S. Pres. Election board.  Search for "counties", with my username, and in that board and you will find it.  So here's the list.  I think it serves as a good guide as sort of a mini-swing county analysis. 

Santa Barbara (Santa Barbara-Santa Maria) CA - wrong
Hernando (Spring Hill) FL –right!
Pasco (Port Richey) FL – right!
Pinellas (St. Petersburg-Clearwater) FL –right!
Flagler (Palm Coast) FL –right!
Osceola (Kissimmee) FL –right!
Orange (Orlando) FL –wrong
Bibb (Macon) GA –wrong
Champaign (Champaign-Urbana) IL –wrong
LaSalle (Ottawa-LaSalle) IL –right!
Whiteside (Sterling-Rock Falls) IL –wrong
Henry (Geneseo-Kewanee) IL –right!
LaPorte (Michigan City) IN –wrong
St. Joseph (South Bend) IN –right!
Scott (Davenport) IA –wrong
Story (Ames) IA –wrong
Douglas (Lawrence) KS –wrong
Caddo (Shreveport) LA –right!
Charles (St. Charles) MD –wrong
Isabella (Mt. Pleasant) MI –wrong
Kalamazoo (Kalamazoo) MI –wrong
Macomb (Sterling Hts.-Warren) MI –right!
Marquette (Marquette) MI –wrong
Oakland (Pontiac-Troy) MI –wrong
Winona (Winona) MN –wrong
Boone (Columbia) MO –right!
Clay (Liberty-Northern KC) MO –right!
Jefferson (far S. sub. St. Louis) MO –right!
Salem (Salem) NJ –right!
Dona Ana (Las Cruces) NM –wrong
Bernallilo (Albuquerque) NM –wrong
Chatham (SW sub. Raleigh-Durham) NC –right!
Cumberland (Fayetteville) NC –right!
Belmont (St. Clairsville) OH -wrong
Clark (Springfield) OH –right!
Franklin (Columbus) OH –wrong
Jefferson (Steubenville) OH –wrong
Portage (Kent) OH –wrong
Montgomery (Dayton) OH –wrong
Muskogee (Muskogee) OK –right!
Columbia (St. Helens) OR –wrong
Washington (Beaverton-Hillsboro) OR –wrong
Carbon (Leighton) PA –right!
Lehigh (Allentown) PA –wrong
Cameron (Brownsville) TX –right!
Newport News VA –wrong
Suffolk VA –right!
Cowlitz (Longview) WA –wrong
Harrison (Clarksburg) WV –right!
Kanawha (Charleston) WV –right!
Columbia (Portage) WI –right!
Kenosha (Kenosha) WI –wrong
Grant (Platteville) WI –wrong
Crawford (Prairie du Chien) WI –wrong
LaCrosse (LaCrosse) WI –wrong

31 wrong, 24 right

Please reply with any corrections or insight.  Results are based off the data found in this site.

[bushforever]

I predicted that Loudoun County would go for Bush.

Nailed that one.

LOL.  Of course it would.  Bush would have to do something really crazy to not win that one.