What's happening in this election?

[AmericanNation]

   
253-244 Romney.  16 EV's gets him to 269 with 64 likely up for grabs.

Obama just can't stop all of those combinations.  Maybe through some miracle he holds NH, NV, CO, MI, and WI. 
IA and VA make Romney President.     

   
How does Romney lose with Wisconsin in his column?  ...He doesn't.   

[AmericanNation]

I just thought of the phrasing for this today. 
The WiscoGOP is now the leadership of like a third of the Republican party.  The Ryan-Walker-Pribus-Johnson WING of the GOP is probably about a fourth to a third of the core ideology.  No other state (Texas maybe) is single-handedly responsible for that much of the platform/appeal.  That is a game changer in electoral college politics.     

[AmericanNation]

Unless President Obama completely collapses as a leader the 2012 election is likely to show why President Obama won in 2008. After all, he remains as slick a communicator as Ronald Reagan. If he can have as effective a campaign apparatus in 2012 as in 2008 (which will depend upon keeping the political base intact) he wins.  

To be honest, I remember hearing Obama's speeches and genuinely being impressed. Since then, he kinda seems flat. Perhaps it's age.

I think it has to do with idealistic naivety and then learning the depressing realism of government.  Reagan was an actor (professional liars) so he could sell anything with a positive attitude. 

1)Obama did a ton of stuff his first two years and the public rejected his actions. 
2)Obama doubled down after the historic rejection of the midterms. He has shown zero ability to adapt to CHANGE-ing conditions.   
3) He is running a shockingly empty and shallow campaign(and before that his rhetoric).  Most people who pay attention are turned off by him.  He has basically been sliding downward continuously for 2-3 years now.  I can't picture him turning it around because he has never turned it around. 
4) Fast-Furious and the National Security leaks are equivalent to Watergate and Iran-contra, respectively.  That is a lot of scandal to have going on simultaneously.     

[AmericanNation]

4) Fast-Furious and the National Security leaks are equivalent to Watergate and Iran-contra, respectively.  That is a lot of scandal to have going on simultaneously.    

Yes, because Obama has clearly orchestrated a massive cover-up and subverted the Constitution.

Yea on one hand it is a worse scandal than Watergate, but on the other hand it probably doesn't go directly to Obama.  Holder is so so so close to the president though. 
The National Security scandal probably does go straight to Obama and Holder is probably covering on that as well, so the equivalency overall stands.     

[AmericanNation]

4) Fast-Furious and the National Security leaks are equivalent to Watergate and Iran-contra, respectively.  That is a lot of scandal to have going on simultaneously.    

Yes, because Obama has clearly orchestrated a massive cover-up and subverted the Constitution.

Yea on one hand it is a worse scandal than Watergate, but on the other hand it probably doesn't go directly to Obama.  Holder is so so so close to the president though. 

How are a few lost guns worse than subverting democracy?

1)Nobody died in Watergate.
2)The cover up is worse than the crime.  You can't have the Justice department completely subverting justice.  The Attorney General (or the President) is not above the law. 
3) By a "few lost guns" you must mean a few thousand guns purposely given to drug cartels that have since been used to kill a border agent and other American citizens.