Barack Obama - 58% - 398 EV's
Ron Paul - 40% - 140 EV's
Paul is down Goldwater amounts most of the election, with many people thinking a full sweep is possible. However, Obama gets lazy and doesn't really campaign much, where Paul's own Paulite ground game starts to get him some support in the mountain states and, surprisingly, in New Hampshire and Colorado. He still gets crushed enormously in the general, but he wins in a much stronger amount of states than expected, including states he was not even expected to pull 40% in like Colorado and New Hampshire. Strongest state is Alaska.