OK-1 (R) Run-off - 38% Harris v. 26% HernHarris defeating Hern would be a hilarious result considering Hern has already spent millions on this race and is a self-funder while Harris is being out-raised by the Democrat (seriously, last quarter one of the Democrats, Tim Gilpin, raised $91k while Harris only raised $50k). Harris' campaign has largely floated by because he has a big local name - he's been the DA in Tulsa County for years. I'd argue beyond that his campaign has been rather invisible. Compare that to Hern - who is just about everywhere, every other ad is one of his, his campaign emailing aparatus is strong - but has burned just about every bridge he could with conservative grassroots.
Democrats have a real shot... of getting within close double digits or even high single digits while still losing this race in this R+18 district that is not only very Republican but also historically very Republican.