2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Now that the GOP's bump has receeded, back to our 🌊 tsunami

New Marist Poll - Generic Congressional Ballot D's Lead By 11

Beautiful!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

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Can somebody explain the logic of this to me? Why is the NRCC pouring money into this race? Let Saccone sink or swim on his own, and if he goes down they can just find a candidate that's not so abjectly awful to run for the new 14th in November. I don't think that avoiding the humiliation of losing a district in deep Trump country is worth millions of dollars.

Because if they lose this race there will be possibly another wave of retirements which will make their control of the House even more tenuous.

Yea, I think Paul Ryan will be watching this race very closely.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Quinnipiac: Generic ballot D+8.

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2538

Previous Q poll was D+3.

5 point surge a month means the Dems will win in November by 43 points.
#BlueTsunamiStrikesBack

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Ipsos/Reuters, April 22-26, 1891 RV

D 44 (+4)
R 33 (-2)
D+11 (+6)

The previous D+5 may have been an outlier, as the last before that were D+9 and D+10.

Any comments on the blue surge Limo Liberal or Hofoid?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Morning Consult

Dems: 43% (-1)
GOP: 34% (-1)

They polled Gen Z (18-21 year olds)

Dems: 58%
GOP: 20%

Millennials (22-37 years old)

Dems: 45%
GOP: 28%

That’s a -17 vs a -38

That’s a MASSIVE spread.

I imagine the Gen Z numbers are replicated with younger Millennials, while older ones like myself (1990 and earlier) are probably a bit more conservative overall

Disappointing to see Millennials being relatively pro Republican. They should considering the environment and state of today's Republican party be at around 65-35 Democratic on the GCB.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Some interesting numbers from Morning Consult:

Dems lead with Catholics 43-38%
Dems leading in the suburbs 45-33%
Dems lead amongst Moderate 47-24%
Dems leading men 42-36%
Dems leading amongst Students 60-19%
Dems winning Midwest 44-32%

GOP losing African Americans 7-72% (Not interesting, just funny because of the whole Kanye crap)

Someone check RINO Tom

B-b-ut sensible moderate suburbanites will shun the radicalized Democratic party and back the party of Rubio and Kasich!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Little loser limo lies, lies, and lies again!

Why hasn't he taken his 1 week break? He said he would and then posted an hour later.

More like Limo LIEBERAL. Not good!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Remember that last Ipsos poll with a sudden jump to R+5?  Yes, boys and girls, this is what we call an "outlier".  New poll:

D: 42 (+6)
R: 34 (-7)

LimoLiberal BTFO

13 point BLUE SURGE in just a week. The House will have to be tripled in size just to fit how many gains the Dems will have.