Ealing Southall and Sedgefield by-elections thread

[Serenity Now]

This thought can't lead to anything beyond mere speculation, but I'd imagine this constituency has a fairly large Polish community, given Ealing was well-known for having a large Polish community even before recent Polish immigration..

I wonder what effect Poles could have on the result? I'd imagine they might be inclined to vote Labour given similar trends in other elections..

Anyway, I'm sure the next census may have a Polish option in some way or another..

[Serenity Now]

Speaking of Ealing Southall, spare a thought for the forgotten Southall voter, that is, your White-British Christian

I find it immensely troubling that none of the major parties are running a candidate from Southall's largest single ethno-religious demographic

Dave

The Green candidate, Sarah Edwards, is white (but I know nothing of her religion) which may make her the only white candidate. This would help the Greens (but sadly for the wrong reason).. There's a reasonable chance of them saving their deposit anyway as they came close to doing so in 2005 and they have a decent level of support in some wards in the east of the constituency.

In relation to my previous point, didn't the Greens once do surprisingly well in a Bradford ward because theirs was the only candidate who was white?

[Serenity Now]

Vera backs Labour in Sedgefield

http://www.sedgefield-labour.com/images/uploads/166580/272f29f2-fbf2-a5f4-5d49-2b8d89774531.pdf

Dave

Haha I like the face that baby's pulling..

[Serenity Now]

Here's something that someone I know might want to get his teeth into

Ealing, Southall (All figures accurate to the year 2000)
Core Poor (people who are income poor, materially deprived and subjectively poor) 12.6%
Bradline Poor (people living below a relative poverty line, and as such excluded from participating in the norms of society) 31.0%
Neither Wealthy nor Poor: 39.2%
Asset Wealthy: (estimated using the relationship between housing wealth and the contemporary Inheritance Tax threshold) 29.8%
Exclusive Wealthy: (people with sufficient wealth to exclude themselves from the norms of society) 8.2%

Sedgefield
Core Poor (people who are income poor, materially deprived and subjectively poor) 12.6%
Bradline Poor (people living below a relative poverty line, and as such excluded from participating in the norms of society) 29.9%
Neither Wealthy nor Poor: 63.7%
Asset Wealthy: (estimated using the relationship between housing wealth and the contemporary Inheritance Tax threshold) 6.4%
Exclusive Wealthy: (people with sufficient wealth to exclude themselves from the norms of society) 0.0%

Interesting, wouldn't you say?

Where'd you manage to get this data at constituency level? I'd love to have a look if that's possible

[Serenity Now]

Wealth by constituency
I downloaded the file that was published with the report. I was hoping to be able to make a map using it and post it if no one minded?

I'm sure nobody would mind at all! I was hoping to do the same myself!

Are the figures from that Joseph Rowntree report that came out the other day?

[Serenity Now]

That's the report! In that case, how about we split the task eh? I do Wales (as that's the area I know best), you do the part of the UK that you know best and we'll divide the rest between us, okay?

Sounds like a plan, I'll do London and the South East. If we make the colour keys distinctive enough we can decide on a "unified" (one if that makes sense).

Can you send me a link to the constituency but, I can't seem to find it in the "full report".

[Serenity Now]

That's the report! In that case, how about we split the task eh? I do Wales (as that's the area I know best), you do the part of the UK that you know best and we'll divide the rest between us, okay?

Sounds like a plan, I'll do London and the South East. If we make the colour keys distinctive enough we can decide on a "unified" (one if that makes sense).

Can you send me a link to the constituency but, I can't seem to find it in the "full report".

bump

Anyone have a link to the file? If we select a colour code and break it down region by region it should be easier to do. I now the JR report has maps of the urban regions which appear to be broken down by town/community. They may be worth replicating as they are a bit blurred.

If i can't have these stats, I don't know what I'll do!