Ontario General Election Prediction thread

[DC Al Fine]

14 Liberal seats before too close to calls?! That's a ballsy prediction. Let's see how it works out.

[DC Al Fine]

Time to make my (likely terribly wrong) guess

Popular vote: 
Liberals: 21%
PC: 34%
NDP: 39%
Greens: 4%
Other/Independents:2%

Seats:
Liberals:8 seats
PC:56 seats
NDP: 60 seats
Greens: 0 seat
Other/Independents:0

Battle Ground riding predictions (I have tried to use past results and media speculation as a guide for which riding to choose. Feel free to add additional Ridings to this list that were left off.

Ottawa and Eastern/Central Ontario:
Ottawa West-Nepean- PC
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell- PC
Kingston and the Islands- NDP
Peterborough- NDP

905 Belt
Ajax-PC
Oshawa-NDP
Vaughan-Woodbridge- PC
King-Vaughan- PC
Brampton-East- NDP
Brampton-North- NDP
Mississauga-Lake shore- PC
Mississauga-Streetsville- PC

GTA:
Scarborough Centre-PC
Scarborough Agincourt-PC
Scarborough Southwest- NDP
Eglinton-Lawrence- Liberal
Willowdale- Liberal
York Centre- PC
Beaches-East York- NDP
Davenport- NDP
Toronto-centre - NDP
University-Rosedale- NDP
Etobicoke North- PC
Etobicoke Lakeshore- PC
Etobicoke Center- PC
York South Weston- NDP
Humber River Black Creek- NDP

Southwest/Midwest and Niagara region:
Burlington- PC
Oakville- PC
St Catherine’s-NDP
Brantford-Brant-NDP
Guelph- Liberal (my only bold prediction)
Waterloo-NDP
London North-Centre- NDP

Northern Ontario:
Sudbury- NDP
Sault Ste Marie- NDP

[DC Al Fine]

Pretty sound, DC. I disagree with Willowdale and the Soo, and obviously Guelph. The Liberals will likely finish fourth there (MS has them at 12%!) Most Liberals will just vote Green.

I've been burned too many times thinking Guelph will get picked off. Now watch it get picked off

[DC Al Fine]

I'll throw out another prediction: the Libertarian Party will break 1.5%