For these following reasons:
1. It is unnecessary to win a majority of the popular vote, as Bill Clinton and George W. Bush demonstrated.
2. The two major established political parties continue to bleed support, increasing the likelihood of a third party candidate winning a significant share of the vote in 2020, working to Trump's advantage as it splits the opposition.
3. Trump has a better job approval rating than most polls suggest, especially among registered/likely voters (polls survey all eligible voters, and many may be reluctant to admit they support him), particularly in the key states he needs to win re-election in the Electoral College.
4. His core group of supporters are with him to the bitter end, and with another less unequivocal group that still sticks with him out of a desire for change, which explains why he has largely bottomed out in polls with around 33 to 35% support.
So his solution is that we as Democrats must quickly (as in avoid a long, drawn-out primary) unite behind a candidate who can appeal to voters in the upper Midwest, particularly in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
Thoughts?
I believe #3 is true, and is the key to Trump's political survival and success.
