Which do you think is more true?

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

For 2020, I think folks are underrating Trump's chances.  This isn't to say he will be re-elected, but folks seem to think he'd go down to defeat.  And he well might if the election were held today, but it isn't going to be held today.

For all the chaos going on, for all the tweets and rants, the economy is strong, unemployment is down and the stock market is way up.  Yes, Obama laid the groundwork for this, but Trump, the incumbent is going to get the credit.  If Trump were put up for a special election in 3 months, he'd probably win.  The economy may well not be rosy in 2020, and, if not, Trump will likely not have a reservoir of good will to see him through.  Business and Economics are something Trump DOES know something about, and I suspect he will manage the situation well enough to get re-elected, but not all is in his control.