We're all aware that the evangelical born again vote is what gave Bush the edge in 2004. Just for "what if" discussion, that the evangelical vote was the same % in 2004 as it was in 2000. Also take "gay marriage" out of the equation.
Would John Kerry have won or would have Bush still squeaked by? What states would Kerry have picked up as a result?
In case you weren't aware, Charlie Cook states clearly in the
Cook Report for the 2004 election that the number of evangelicals who voted in this election showed a 0% change of the total electorate from 2000. I should know, I heard it from his mouth three times.