WI: PPP: Baldwin by three.

[politicallefty]

I think Baldwin will win in a very tight result. She'll under-perform Obama, but not by as much as we thought she would earlier on in this cycle.

That's what I think as well. At first, I thought this one was pretty over with Thompson as the Republican candidate, but Baldwin has been running quite strong in this race. I think she has the edge so long as Obama can keep some distance between himself and Romney.