Trump getting drubbed in the Philly suburbs by 40 points. DISASTER!
This point has been severely understated in this topic. That's the reason I've never bought into the PA=Tossup idea. Trump can pick up voters in Southwestern PA and other rural areas. He might even make inroads into the Scranton and Wilkes-Barre area. However, I don't think he stands a chance in SEPA. President Obama won the Philly suburbs by 9% in 2012. A 40-point lead in the Philly suburbs is mind-boggling. She doesn't even need to get that to keep PA Democratic. If she gets up to or near 65% in Montco and Delco and up to or near 60% in Chester and Bucks, she'll have the state locked up so long as Philly itself delivers a 450k+ vote margin.
