OH - Columbus Dispatch: Clinton +1 (user search)
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  OH - Columbus Dispatch: Clinton +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH - Columbus Dispatch: Clinton +1  (Read 12943 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,314
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« on: November 06, 2016, 05:42:19 AM »

I'm pretty sure this is supposed to be a near-gold standard. Their final poll in 2012 had President Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-48. This is definitely good news for the Clinton campaign.
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politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,314
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 07:01:14 AM »

I'd like to believe it but I kinda don't. The real number is probably T+1-2.

I don't think it's outside of the realm of possibility, but if she wins it will be only just and thanks to her superior ground game.

Would be a nice surpise for me on election night.

Two days ago, I would have predicted the state for Trump. But now with this and Hillary's late push in the state, I think it's as close to a pure toss-up as any state right now. Early voting in Ohio goes until 2PM on Monday. I do think if she wins, it will be a result of a vastly superior ground game and the Ohio Republican Party ground game sitting on its hands as far as the presidential race goes. Ohio Republicans seem to have been putting all their effort into reelecting Portman and even he's apparently actively courting Hillary supporters. And on top of that, with the news that Kasich didn't vote for Trump, I think Ohio is going to be very close (less than 2%, maybe even less than 1% for the winner).
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