Emerson: UT (McMullin +4), NH (Clinton +8), PA (Clinton +4), MO (Trump +8) (user search)
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  Emerson: UT (McMullin +4), NH (Clinton +8), PA (Clinton +4), MO (Trump +8) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Emerson: UT (McMullin +4), NH (Clinton +8), PA (Clinton +4), MO (Trump +8)  (Read 6083 times)
ProudModerate2
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« on: October 19, 2016, 03:48:03 PM »
Quote from: Xiivi on October 19, 2016, 02:10:53 PM
Not a pollster I'd put a lot of stock in; but a pollster finally showing McMullin ahead in Utah is bound to generate a lot of press in the state and get some more name recognition for them there.  Positive feedback loop for McMullin in the state!  Excellent news!
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ProudModerate2
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Posts: 20,577
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 04:05:30 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 04:10:31 PM by ProudModerate2 »
It seems that in 538, the large favorability towards trump winning Utah is because of the YouGov poll taken from Oct 12-14.
It shows a trump +17 (adjusted +15), and 538 has "weighed" it considerably heavy/high.
Otherwise, Utah would be a toss-up 3-way battle between trump, Clinton and McMullin.
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