Redban
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,985
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« on: August 22, 2016, 10:16:40 AM » |
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Regarding Colorado and Nevada --- he won those states mostly because he won the popular vote by 2-3%. Had Romney or McCain won the popular vote by 2-3%, then they would have won Colorado and/or Nevada too.
It's tempting to say that Bush's 40% support from Hispanics gave him those states, but in 2004, Hispanics didn't constitute as much of the states's electorate as today (esp. in Colorado, which was probably over 80% white in 2004). Bush's 40% with Hispanics gave him New Mexico alone.
Regarding Virginia -- Bush won it because, in 2004, the Democrats did not yet realize that the state was purple, so they never contested the state (It wasn't until 2006 that Virginia became the state we know today). Kerry indeed made no visits to Virginia in 2004, nor did he devote any money to advertising there. As far as he (and the Democrats) were concerned, Virginia was simply a state that had not gone Democrat since 1964.
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