When will the next UK election be?
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  When will the next UK election be?
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Poll
Question: Huh
#1
Before the end of 2010
 
#2
2011
 
#3
2012
 
#4
2013
 
#5
2014
 
#6
2015
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: When will the next UK election be?  (Read 1244 times)
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 08, 2010, 05:40:40 PM »

I'd say it's either before the end of this year or 2012.
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Franzl
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2010, 05:41:17 PM »

I don't think it'll be this year...Tory/Lib Dem should hold till 2012 at least.
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2010, 05:44:31 PM »

I don't think it'll be this year...Tory/Lib Dem should hold till 2012 at least.

I think if Cameron wants a majority, it'd be best him trying to get through to Autumn 2012, right after the olympics. He could get in on a tide of patriotism or something.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2010, 05:52:46 PM »

I don't think it'll be this year...Tory/Lib Dem should hold till 2012 at least.

All things considered, they make rather strange bedfellows I'd say. I'd be letting Cameron have his minority government, and if premature austerity produces a double-dip, no one can say they weren't warned. That will be the time to bring him down in a vote of no confidence; hopefully, with the two progressive centre-left to centrist parties forming an electoral pact going into the next election
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2010, 05:54:05 PM »

It's highly unlikely that this Parliament will last for 4 or 5 years.
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k-onmmunist
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« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2010, 05:55:09 PM »

2011.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2010, 06:28:01 PM »

Let's say that the Tories and Lib Dems go into a coalition, Gordon Brown resigns, David Miliband becomes Leader of the Labour Party, and an election is called later this year or next year. Who wins?
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2010, 06:29:50 PM »

Let's say that the Tories and Lib Dems go into a coalition, Gordon Brown resigns, David Miliband becomes Leader of the Labour Party, and an election is called later this year or next year. Who wins?

The Tories, outright. Labour has no money to fight an election and the recovery (should the Tories be able to sustain it) should be in full swing.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #8 on: May 08, 2010, 06:38:28 PM »

Let's say that the Tories and Lib Dems go into a coalition, Gordon Brown resigns, David Miliband becomes Leader of the Labour Party, and an election is called later this year or next year. Who wins?

The Tories, outright. Labour has no money to fight an election and the recovery (should the Tories be able to sustain it) should be in full swing.

And should that happen then it's of no credit to the Conservatives. It will be down to the decisions of Brown, and his Labour government, in its response to the worst financial crisis and economic downturn since the 'Great Depression'
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: May 08, 2010, 07:03:39 PM »

Let's say that the Tories and Lib Dems go into a coalition, Gordon Brown resigns, David Miliband becomes Leader of the Labour Party, and an election is called later this year or next year. Who wins?

The Tories, outright. Labour has no money to fight an election and the recovery (should the Tories be able to sustain it) should be in full swing.

And should that happen then it's of no credit to the Conservatives. It will be down to the decisions of Brown, and his Labour government, in its response to the worst financial crisis and economic downturn since the 'Great Depression'

True, but do you really think that the Tory media would present it like that?
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redcommander
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« Reply #10 on: May 08, 2010, 11:06:12 PM »

I would say probably later this year, or early next year. The Lib Dems and the Tories no matter how much they say, have key policy differences which will not sustain a long-lasting coalition if one comes into fruition. PR for example I don't think the Tories will budge on. A second election by the way would probably guarantee the Tories a comfortable majority. The reason they couldn't get one outright the first time was because of the magnitude of the national swing necessary to go from 193 to at least 326 seats. With a smaller swing necessary next time and the likelihood that we are heading for a double-dip recession, I don't see how Labour will be able to hold on to a hung parliament.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: May 09, 2010, 12:20:49 PM »

I would say probably later this year, or early next year. The Lib Dems and the Tories no matter how much they say, have key policy differences which will not sustain a long-lasting coalition if one comes into fruition. PR for example I don't think the Tories will budge on. A second election by the way would probably guarantee the Tories a comfortable majority. The reason they couldn't get one outright the first time was because of the magnitude of the national swing necessary to go from 193 to at least 326 seats. With a smaller swing necessary next time and the likelihood that we are heading for a double-dip recession, I don't see how Labour will be able to hold on to a hung parliament.

Labour could easily blame the Tories for a double-dip though, since they've been saying for the past year that Tory cuts would cause a double-dip.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #12 on: May 09, 2010, 01:04:43 PM »

Hopefully this parliament lasts long enough so that all 3 major parties have the resources (etc) to fight a campaign so that the British public can choose.  Pie in the sky.  I know.
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afleitch
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« Reply #13 on: May 09, 2010, 01:12:37 PM »

It all depends.

If the Conservatives form the government and enjoy an economic 'boom' (in the same way Labour made the most of an inherited boom post 1997) they could go quite quickly and secure a majority. Labour of course are still in limbo- they have not yet turned on their leader yet...
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