Predict ...

[Tender Branson]

who of the 2012 contestants will lead in the states that were not yet polled:

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Gingrich -> Dark Blue
Pawlenty -> Green
Yellow -> DeMint

...

Hawaii: Romney
Oregon: Romney
Idaho: Palin
Wyoming: Palin
North Dakota: Huckabee
South Dakota: Huckabee
Kansas: Huckabee
Oklahoma: Huckabee
Arkansas: Huckabee
Mississippi: Huckabee
Tennessee: Huckabee
Indiana: Huckabee
Maryland: Romney
Delaware: Romney
New York: Romney
Vermont: Romney
Rhode Island: Romney
DC: Romney

[Tender Branson]

Whoops, Thune will probably lead in SD - but he could be in a tie with Huckabee.

Barbour could be ahead in MS, but I still think Huckabee is leading.

[tmthforu94]

Hawaii: Romney
Oregon: Romney
Idaho: Romney
Wyoming: Palin
North Dakota: Romney
South Dakota: Thune
Kansas: Huckabee
Oklahoma: Huckabee
Arkansas: Huckabee
Mississippi: Barbour
Tennessee: Huckabee
Indiana: Huckabee
Maryland: Romney
Delaware: Romney
New York: Romney
Vermont: Romney
Rhode Island: Romney
DC: Romney

[Thomas D]

Hawaii: Palin
Oregon: Palin
Idaho: Romney
Wyoming: Romney
North Dakota: Palin
South Dakota: Palin
Kansas: Huckabee
Oklahoma: Huckabee
Arkansas: Huckabee
Mississippi: Barbour
Tennessee: Huckabee
Indiana: Huckabee
Maryland: Huckabee
Delaware: Romney
New York: Romney
Vermont: Romney
Rhode Island: Romney
DC: Huckabee (Just a shot in the dark.)

[Mexino Vote]

Hawaii: Romney
Oregon: Romney
Idaho: Palin
Wyoming: Palin
North Dakota: Thune
South Dakota: Thune
Kansas: Palin
Oklahoma: Palin
Arkansas: Huckabee
Mississippi: Huckabee
Tennessee: Huckabee
Indiana: Romney
Maryland: Romney
Delaware: Romney
New York: Romney
Vermont: Romney
Rhode Island: Romney
DC: Romney

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Romney can't have a majority in so many places....

[The Economist]

Iowa: Palin
New Hampshire: Romney
South Carolina: Romney
Florida: Romney
Nevada: Thune.

Romney takes the nomination easily.

[Bull Moose Base]

Iowa: Palin
New Hampshire: Romney
South Carolina: Romney
Florida: Romney
Nevada: Thune.

Romney takes the nomination easily.

Thune Nevada?  If Florida doesn't move it's primary date, IA, NH and SC will move up to January but it's not clear whether Nevada will.  It may then come after Super Tuesday, in which case, Thune will probably have to have won some other states to still be running.

But I second the tacit sentiment in your post that there's no value in polling later states

[RogueBeaver]

Vermont: Romney
New York: Romney
New Jersey: Romney
Maryland: Romney
DC: Romney
Indiana: Pawlenty
Tennessee: Gingrich
Mississippi: Barbour
Arkansas: Gingrich
Oklahoma: Barbour
Kansas: Romney
Idaho: Romney
Wyoming: Romney
Dakotas: Romney
Hawaii: Romney
Oregon: Romney

[Mr. Morden]

Idaho: Palin

Isn't Idaho over 20% Mormon (which means an even larger share than that of the GOP primary vote)?  If so, I don't see Romney losing there.

[Tender Branson]

Idaho: Palin

Isn't Idaho over 20% Mormon (which means an even larger share than that of the GOP primary vote)?  If so, I don't see Romney losing there.

But wasn't Palin born in Idaho and spent a few years there ?

I could see a tight race there between her, Romney and Huckabee.

[Mr. Morden]

Idaho: Palin

Isn't Idaho over 20% Mormon (which means an even larger share than that of the GOP primary vote)?  If so, I don't see Romney losing there.

But wasn't Palin born in Idaho and spent a few years there ?

She was born there, but the family moved to Alaska when she was an infant.  She returned to the state for something like 2-3 year during her college years.  I don't see what difference that would make though.  Both Daniels and Gingrich were born in Pennsylvania, and I don't see it being something that any significant slice of the electorate in PA would know or care about.

In 2008, Romney won big in NV, in large part because he won over 90% of the Mormon vote, who made up 25% of GOP caucus-goers, despite being only ~10% of the total population of the state.  In a state that's over 20% Mormon, I don't think he's going to lose (unless he's already dropped out of the race by then).

But then, it probably makes no difference anyway, since Idaho's primary isn't held until May.

[Niemeyerite]

Hawaii: Palin
Oregon: Romney
Idaho: Romney
Wyoming: Romney
North Dakota: Huckabee
South Dakota: Thune
Kansas: Huckabee
Oklahoma: Huckabee
Arkansas: Huckabee
Mississippi: Barbour
Tennessee: Huckabee
Indiana: Huckabee
Maryland: Huckabee
Delaware: Huckabee
New York: Romney
Vermont: Romney
Rhode Island: Romney
DC: Romney