New CNN Poll: GOP losing its cred
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  New CNN Poll: GOP losing its cred
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Author Topic: New CNN Poll: GOP losing its cred  (Read 2025 times)
Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #25 on: August 10, 2011, 10:45:54 AM »

As long as Obama remains absolutely tanked in the polls, this specific CNN poll is a moot point that has no implications for the 2012 presidential election.

2012 is a choice between Obama and a nominee of a party even less popular than he is.  Which is why he's at 40% approval in Gallup, his lowest approval ever, and for the first time in years beating generic Republican in polls (and generic Republican is consistently the strongest polling Republican even if he doesn't exist).  I've been arguing for a weeks Obama could easily break the record for low approvals for a president who gets re-elected.  I am an award-winning predictor and I deserve your respect.  Thank you.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #26 on: August 10, 2011, 03:33:27 PM »

Obama's numbers have taken a pretty good hit - In the last 12 polls on the RCP average the best he has done in 45% approval, and he has been under water for the last 14 polls...

He is clearly in the "tactical" range where the outcome of the election will hinge on the quality of the campaign and the GOP candidates ability to define themselves.

The advantage the GOP has is that damage done to Obama is done, well, to Obama, while generalized damage to the GOP brand name may or may not specifically apply to whom ever ends up with the GOP nomination.

Despite the GOP/Bush era meltdown, the media getting "tingles in their leg" for Obama and McCain refusing to take the Gloves off, Obama only got 52.87% of the vote.... (Less than Bush Sr. Got in 1988) - The media wanted Obama to get a landside, but he really didn't. 

Put in perspective, a shift of 4% from the 2008 results means the GOP will win.....  It is hard to imagine that 2012 will be less GOP friendly than 2008...,... and it will certainly be far less Obama friendly than 2008.

If the GOP nominates some nutcase we could have an "own goal" situation, but short of that... it will  be a close race....
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J. J.
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« Reply #27 on: August 10, 2011, 03:44:42 PM »

73% think America is on the "wrong track," though Obama's numbers are at 45%.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/08/10/usa-poll-idUSN1E7790RQ20110810
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Mercenary
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« Reply #28 on: August 10, 2011, 04:55:53 PM »

When they refused a good compromise deal because it had tax "increases" in it and settled for something that barely touched the deficit instead, they certainly deserved to lose any credibility.

The "tea party" is just as much a joke when it comes to fiscal responsibility and economic sensibility as the rest of the nutters in congress.
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