Final Louisiana Predictions
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« on: March 23, 2012, 03:37:40 PM »
As I'll be gone through tomorrow:

Santorum - 45%
Romney - 31%
Gingrich - 17%
Paul - 6%
Others - 1%
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2012, 03:52:55 PM »
41 Santorum
28 Romney
19 Gingrich
7 Paul
4 Roemer
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2012, 04:22:08 PM »
40 Santorum
27 Romney
21 Gingrich
9 Paul
3 Roemer
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2012, 04:59:46 PM »

45 Santorum
30 Romney
15 Gingrich
8 Paul
2 Others

Delegates:

Santorum 12
Romney  8
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2012, 05:08:58 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on March 23, 2012, 04:59:46 PM

45 Santorum
30 Romney
15 Gingrich
8 Paul
2 Others

Delegates:

Santorum 12
Romney  8



Louisiana is a little odd in how the apportion delegates. A good synopsis is here

http://frontloading.blogspot.com/

If your percentage predictions come true Santorum would get 9 delegates, Romney 6 and 5 would be uncommitted.
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J. J.
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« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2012, 05:22:31 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on March 23, 2012, 05:08:58 PM
Quote from: J. J. on March 23, 2012, 04:59:46 PM

45 Santorum
30 Romney
15 Gingrich
8 Paul
2 Others

Delegates:

Santorum 12
Romney  8



Louisiana is a little odd in how the apportion delegates. A good synopsis is here

http://frontloading.blogspot.com/

If your percentage predictions come true Santorum would get 9 delegates, Romney 6 and 5 would be uncommitted.

Thanks.  That system is completely bizarre.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2012, 06:43:20 PM »
Santorum - 45%
Romney - 31%
Gingrich - 16%
Paul - 7%
Other - 1%
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Matthew
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2012, 07:29:54 PM »
Santorum 38%
Romney 32%
Gingrich 21%
Paul 9%
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #8 on: March 23, 2012, 10:17:03 PM »
Santorum- 42%
Romney- 29%
Gingrich- 19%
Paul- 8%
Roemer- 2%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: March 23, 2012, 11:52:09 PM »
Santorum 44%
Romney 34%
Gingrich 15%
Paul 5%
Others 2%
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RBH
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« Reply #10 on: March 24, 2012, 02:47:17 AM »
Santorum 48
Romney 27
Newt 16
Paul 7
Other 2
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Tender Branson
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #11 on: March 24, 2012, 03:40:12 AM »
44% Santorum
28% Romney
18% Gingrich
  7% Paul
  2% Roemer
  1% Others
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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: March 24, 2012, 10:02:12 AM »
Santorum - 43%
Romney - 32%
Gingrich - 17%
Paul - 6%
Others - 2%
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2012, 11:34:23 AM »
If Mitt comes out with around 6- 8 delegates, that will be a success.
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Sbane
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« Reply #14 on: March 24, 2012, 02:01:58 PM »
Santorum- 45%
Romney- 29%
Gingrich- 19%
Paul- 7%
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #15 on: March 24, 2012, 02:16:55 PM »
Santorum 46%
Romney 27%
Gingrich 20%
Paul 7%
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Vosem
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« Reply #16 on: March 24, 2012, 04:08:13 PM »
I personally think Romney might overperform, but my model doubts it:

Rick Santorum 44.2%
Mitt Romney 30.1%
Newt Gingrich 19.9%
Ron Paul 5.8%
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Bacon King
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E: -7.63, S: -9.49

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« Reply #17 on: March 24, 2012, 04:51:15 PM »
S: 43
R: 29
G: 15
P: 10
other: 3

I haven't looked at any polls so this is more intuition than anything.
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Frodo
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« Reply #18 on: March 24, 2012, 05:00:17 PM »
Savor this triumph, Keystone Phil, because this primary may very well be the last that Rick Santorum will ever win. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: March 25, 2012, 02:04:36 AM »
Quote from: Severe Frodo on March 24, 2012, 05:00:17 PM
Savor this triumph, Keystone Phil, because this primary may very well be the last that Rick Santorum will ever win. 

That's doubtful.
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Alcon
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« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2012, 02:10:45 AM »
Let me be the first to congratulate RBH...every single candidate within 1%.  Nice!
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