VA, Wenzel: Romney in the lead

[krazen1211]

http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/virginia_statewide_surveypollingmemorandum2010-22-2012-2.html

Romney 49
Obama 47


Great news! Lines with other polls showing the Romney surge and they heavily sampled Democrats to boot.

[Knives]

Outlier.

Internal D and R polling shows Obama up by 3.

[dspNY]

Wenzel is a partisan GOP pollster, this indicates that the race in VA is tied or Obama +1 more likely. VA will come down to turnout and GOTV

[pa2011]

Have hard time buying this result, since same poll also shows Allen leading Kaine by 3 points in the Senate race. No other data suggests anything other than Kaine being ahead.

 Also, if you know anything about Virginia, don't see how they can get a result where Kaine leads Allen by 13 points in population rich Northern Virginia while Obama supposedly leads Romney by only 4 points in Northern Virginia.  Yet, Allen's lead statewide is larger than Romney's.

[Cliffy]

Outlier.

Internal D and R polling shows Obama up by 3.

Where is this internal R polling you speak of?

[Brittain33]

That is good news, doesn't Wenzel have Akin leading in MO?

[J. J.]

Wenzel isn't the greatest pollster on the planet.  They also seem to have a GOP bias.

[Skill and Chance]

Wenzel is a partisan GOP pollster, this indicates that the race in VA is tied or Obama +1 more likely. VA will come down to turnout and GOTV

Well then, 6 point rule!

[krazen1211]

Outlier.

Internal D and R polling shows Obama up by 3.

Where is this internal R polling you speak of?

Ah, yes, we should trust Cook's internal 'leaks' that show Romney leading in VA internals but not trust the alleged internals when they are actually presented in the public eye.

Interesting thinking.

[Knives]

You need to be in the 'know'.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Wenzel isn't the greatest pollster on the planet.  They also seem to have a GOP bias.

Talk about understatement...!

[pepper11]

Figures. No surprise here. VA is a lock.