How many votes would DJT have won if year-over-year real GDP growth was -2%?
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  How many votes would DJT have won if year-over-year real GDP growth was -2%?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Huh
#1
0 points		  
#2
310-330 EV		  
#3
330-350 EV		  
#4
350-370 EV		  
#5
370-390 EV		  
#6
390-410 EV		  
#7
410 EV or above		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 13

Author Topic: How many votes would DJT have won if year-over-year real GDP growth was -2%?  (Read 741 times)
(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
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« on: March 16, 2017, 10:26:54 PM »
Roughly 350-370 EV, I suspect.
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
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« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2017, 11:04:04 PM »
He would have likely picked up MN, VA, ME-AL, NV, and CO. So close to 346 (depending on the number of rogue electors).
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2017, 01:33:59 PM »
Quote from: Heisenberg on March 16, 2017, 11:04:04 PM
He would have likely picked up MN, VA, ME-AL, NV, and CO. So close to 346 (depending on the number of rogue electors).
He would also have picked up NH and maybe even NM too.  He would have been able to bring DE and NJ to 2004 levels.
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2017, 06:57:42 PM »
Trump gets 350 EV on November 8, winning Minnesota, New Hampshire, Nevada,  Maine, Colorado and Virginia but he'd get slightly less due to faithless electors (OTL's 2 at least and possibly more (
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2017, 08:33:14 PM »

350 - 188
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RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2017, 01:55:27 PM »
350-370 is a good estimate.  Based on the exit polls, those who had economy as their top issue voted handily for Clinton.  I suspect that would not have been the case had GDP growth been that poor.
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