Bing: Clinton and Trump both to win all but one state on Super Tuesday
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  Bing: Clinton and Trump both to win all but one state on Super Tuesday
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Author Topic: Bing: Clinton and Trump both to win all but one state on Super Tuesday  (Read 1526 times)
Crumpets
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« on: February 29, 2016, 07:40:18 PM »

Apparent prediction powerhouse Bing is predicting that Clinton will win every state but Vermont, while Trump will win every state but Texas tomorrow. They say Sanders was ahead in both Colorado and Minnesota until just recently, and (if I'm reading it right) are saying Clinton will get 60+% in Oklahoma.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/super-tuesday-trump-clinton-220005?cmpid=sf
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: February 29, 2016, 07:43:10 PM »

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Junk Prognasticator!
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RI
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« Reply #2 on: February 29, 2016, 07:47:31 PM »

Sounds like their model places a lot of weight on momentum.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #3 on: February 29, 2016, 07:51:30 PM »

There is simply not enough data out of some states, notably OK, MN and CO,  to make any predictions.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #4 on: February 29, 2016, 07:52:34 PM »

Sounds like their model places a lot of weight on momentum.

Which, to be fair, might be a good approach considering these states do not receive the personal attention that places like Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina do. Iowans grapple with their views on the election for months on end, attending candidate events and following campaign developments closely. Nothing against the folks who live in Super Tuesday states, but that tradition of engagement just isn't there in a lot of these areas. Momentum could win the day... which is why Hillary's Nevada win was so important.
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: February 29, 2016, 07:52:54 PM »

Is this the one that predicted that Hillary would get over 90% of the vote in Nevada? Even Dick Morris makes better predictions than that.
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RR1997
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« Reply #6 on: February 29, 2016, 07:56:26 PM »
« Edited: February 29, 2016, 08:08:16 PM by RR1997 »

I disagree. Donald John Trump will obviously win most states, but Cruz could win more then one. He will obviously win Texas, but he could also win Minnesota, Colorado, Alaska, and Wyoming. He has no chance in any other states. Hillary will win most states, but Bernie will win Vermont and could win Minnesota and Colorado. Donald John Trump might even lose VA (this is highly unlikely though).
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HilLarry
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« Reply #7 on: February 29, 2016, 08:34:28 PM »

does Bernie drop out on Wednesday if he only wins VT?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: February 29, 2016, 08:37:53 PM »

Sounds about right.
But possibly all but two states (instead of one).
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #9 on: February 29, 2016, 08:58:25 PM »

does Bernie drop out on Wednesday if he only wins VT?

Clinton could come undone with the email scandal. Unlikely, but worth staying in the race in the event that the 5% chance of her having legal issues is realised.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #10 on: February 29, 2016, 09:02:15 PM »

Huh?  I doubt Trump will win in Minnesota.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: February 29, 2016, 09:15:29 PM »

I disagree. Donald John Trump will obviously win most states, but Cruz could win more then one. He will obviously win Texas, but he could also win Minnesota, Colorado, Alaska, and Wyoming. He has no chance in any other states. Hillary will win most states, but Bernie will win Vermont and could win Minnesota and Colorado. Donald John Trump might even lose VA (this is highly unlikely though).

There is no presidential preference poll in Colorado and Wyoming for the Republicans. The states will not matter tomorrow. People need to stop talking about them.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #12 on: February 29, 2016, 09:33:11 PM »

Is this the one that predicted that Hillary would get over 90% of the vote in Nevada? Even Dick Morris makes better predictions than that.

https://blogs.bing.com/search/2016/01/26/bing-elections-2016-who-will-win-iowa-and-new-hampshire/

Yeah. Also predicted Trump would win Iowa with 40%. To be fair, they've picked all the right Dem winner so far (easy task of just picking the polling winner).
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