WaPo: DCCC expanding target list after Tuesday's results

[OriginalJeremiah]

I don't see WA-5 flipping, maybe a 53-47 election?

The district hold counties like Garfield that vote overwhelming Republican, and usually have high turnout (even though not very populous)

Democrats are gonna have to rely on Spokane, and Whitman counties to win.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I don't see WA-5 flipping, maybe a 53-47 election?

The district hold counties like Garfield that vote overwhelming Republican, and usually have high turnout (even though not very populous)

Democrats are gonna have to rely on Spokane, and Whitman counties to win.

Was that Tom Foley's old district?  I am pretty sure he was from Spokane.

[Hoosier_Nick]

The big issue with IN-5 is that even if Hamilton County flips; that's not enough to really flip the district itself.  If there is a big suburban swing against Republicans, then sure Hamilton county is the type of county you might see going to the Democrats by like a 52-48 margin on an exceptionally good night (a night which 2018 might provide).  The issue is the rest of the district isn't the same type of suburban make-up and thus a slight win in Hamilton county wouldn't be enough to tip the district itself.

Still, as a resident of the district/Hamilton county I'm hoping for the best and really wanting the Democrats to contest it anyway.

Agreed. And even if the opponent runs up the margin in Marion County too, it's doubtful that the northern part of the district wouldn't just cancel it out. But let's be real here: getting a practical tie in Hamilton would be hard enough as-is.

[KingSweden]

I don't see WA-5 flipping, maybe a 53-47 election?

The district hold counties like Garfield that vote overwhelming Republican, and usually have high turnout (even though not very populous)

Democrats are gonna have to rely on Spokane, and Whitman counties to win.

Was that Tom Foley's old district?  I am pretty sure he was from Spokane.

Correct.

Those rural counties are tiny, though, and shrinking. If Brown gets good margins out of Spokane, Pullman and keeps Cathy’s MOV low in the Valley and Walla Walla then we might have a race.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I don't see WA-5 flipping, maybe a 53-47 election?

The district hold counties like Garfield that vote overwhelming Republican, and usually have high turnout (even though not very populous)

Democrats are gonna have to rely on Spokane, and Whitman counties to win.

Was that Tom Foley's old district?  I am pretty sure he was from Spokane.

Correct.

Those rural counties are tiny, though, and shrinking. If Brown gets good margins out of Spokane, Pullman and keeps Cathy’s MOV low in the Valley and Walla Walla then we might have a race.

(is reminded of Cathy McMorris Rodgers going down in defeat in 2024 in Era of a New Majority)

[OriginalJeremiah]

I don't see WA-5 flipping, maybe a 53-47 election?

The district hold counties like Garfield that vote overwhelming Republican, and usually have high turnout (even though not very populous)

Democrats are gonna have to rely on Spokane, and Whitman counties to win.

Was that Tom Foley's old district?  I am pretty sure he was from Spokane.

Yes, But I talking about the counties itself which rarely votes DEM and when it does its close.
Tom Foley held his seat until 94' and the closest race since was 44-56 and that was the election after Foley's lost. McMorris Roger's closest election? 43-56 and that was 2006. Brown is a good candidate so that's why I'm saying its going to be closer but she'll (McMorris Roger) be victorious.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

IN-5 was 53-41 Trump! It's probably not winnable now but it's worth keeping an eye on for the future.