Who will win the Alabama senate race?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Moore is crashing and polls are shifting into Jones' favor. There is a lot of time between now and December but I don't see Moore fixing anything. I think Jones will win by about 5 or 6 points.

[Cactus Jack]

Can't dougie the Dougie.

[MAINEiac4434]

[Old Man Willow]

Moore by 4-6%.

[IceSpear]

Moore

[Greedo punched first]

Moore

[Young Conservative]

Plot twist: Neither.

[SWE]

Jeb Bush

[Mr. Smith]

Moore by 3%

It's a Kandering.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Moore by 8.

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Jones by about 4 (plus or minus 2)

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Moore by 8.

If Moore wins, it's going to be by 3% or less.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Moore by 8.

If Moore wins, it's going to be by 3% or less.

I have little faith in the voters of Alabama, I'm sorry.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Today, I will say Jones +2 but enough time will pass for Republicans on the fence to rationalize their vote for an alleged child molester.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Dougie Jones.

[Skill and Chance]

Jones will almost certainly win, but I'm not sure about the margin. Gonna guess Jones +8 for now.

This sounds right.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I have a strong feeling Jones could pull off a Bel Edwards and win by a very comfortable margin. Nobody's Roy's pathetic "Women for Moore" rally btw.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Who should win?

Jones

Who will win?

Moore

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Who should win?

Jones

Who will win?

Moore

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I think there's a nonzero chance that they force Moore out and win with some other Republican.

[publicunofficial]

The polls say Jones but my gut says Moore by 3-4.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Jones wins but closer then the latest round of polls suggest. I would guess a Jones win of 2-3 with a high number of blank and write in votes.

[NewYorkExpress]

Moore 50.000001%
Jones 49.999999%

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Jones wins but closer then the latest round of polls suggest. I would guess a Jones win of 2-3 with a high number of blank and write in votes.

That's a fair point and something that the polls don't capture. I'm not sure how it will affect the election, but I could see a minimum of 5% write-ins. Hard to say who it would hurt more though.

[Badger]

Probably Jones. However, there are two key questions still yet to be answered in the next three and a half weeks. First, does a major Alabama politician like strange, sessions, or one of the Congress members enter as a write-in candidate which is immediately backed by the national establishment and a fair portion of the state party? Secondly, is there still a chance that moore will bow to the inevitable as his poll numbers continue crashing and drop out? Personally, I would put a 51 percent chance of the former, and a 25% chance of the l a t t e r occurring. If only the former occurs, there are simply too many Moore partisans to avoid hopelessly splitting the Democratic vote that Jones relatively High floor won't still win by a plurality. This will not be a situation where the write-in becomes the de-facto Republican candidate like Lieberman did in his 2006 reelection and the Republican some guy nominee took home only about 10% of the vote.

Well I don't think more is likely to drop out, and time is quickly taking away, if he should do so in deference to a big-name Alabama write in candidate, who endorses or at least campaigns have they Hmong Christian conservatives for, Jones still has a chance to lose.

Short of that, even with the star nursing level of hypocrisy so-called Christian conservatives have shown and this being, God help it, Alabama, I just can't seem moore pulling this out on his own.